Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monterrey win with a probability of 39.3%. A win for Santos Laguna had a probability of 35.25% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monterrey win was 0-1 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.58%) and 0-2 (6.42%). The likeliest Santos Laguna win was 1-0 (8.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Monterrey would win this match.