Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pachuca win with a probability of 38.92%. A win for Queretaro had a probability of 34.71% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pachuca win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.43%) and 0-2 (6.72%). The likeliest Queretaro win was 1-0 (9.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.
