Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pachuca win with a probability of 52.51%. A win for Queretaro had a probability of 23.82% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pachuca win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.73%) and 2-0 (8.91%). The likeliest Queretaro win was 0-1 (6.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Pachuca in this match.