Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Leon win with a probability of 47.41%. A win for Queretaro had a probability of 26.35% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Club Leon win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.13%) and 0-2 (8.92%). The likeliest Queretaro win was 1-0 (8.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Club Leon in this match.