Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruz Azul win with a probability of 60.79%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Necaxa had a probability of 17.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cruz Azul win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.74%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.3%), while for a Necaxa win it was 0-1 (5.36%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cruz Azul would win this match.