Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Tijuana win with a probability of 42.57%. A win for Pachuca had a probability of 30.69% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Club Tijuana win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.73%) and 2-0 (7.76%). The likeliest Pachuca win was 0-1 (9.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Club Tijuana would win this match.