MX23RW : Tuesday, November 5 14:42:27| >> :300:86500:86500:
Liga MX | Gameweek 3
Jul 15, 2023 at 4.10am UK
Estadio Caliente

Tijuana
2 - 1
Cruz Azul

Gonzalez (57'), Cambindo (90+2' og.)
Rodriguez (50')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Rivero (45')
Cambindo (90'), Salcedo (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Liga MX clash between Club Tijuana and Cruz Azul, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Necaxa 1-1 Tijuana
Saturday, July 8 at 4am in Liga MX
Next Game: Tijuana vs. Mazatlan
Saturday, August 26 at 4am in Liga MX
Last Game: Cruz Azul 0-2 Toluca
Sunday, July 9 at 12.50am in Liga MX
Next Game: Monterrey vs. Cruz Azul
Monday, August 28 at 3am in Liga MX

We said: Club Tijuana 2-1 Cruz Azul

Tijuana's inability to keep clean sheets means the hosts are expected to concede, but they possess the firepower to outscore Cruz Azul on their turf with a marginal victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Tijuana win with a probability of 43.33%. A win for Cruz Azul had a probability of 29.42% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Club Tijuana win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.67%) and 2-0 (8.18%). The likeliest Cruz Azul win was 0-1 (9.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Club Tijuana in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Club Tijuana.

Result
Club TijuanaDrawCruz Azul
43.33% (0.413 0.41) 27.25% (-0.012 -0.01) 29.42% (-0.403 -0.4)
Both teams to score 48.37% (-0.166 -0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.22% (-0.11600000000001 -0.12)56.77% (0.113 0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.28% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)77.71% (0.091999999999999 0.09)
Club Tijuana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.02% (0.161 0.16)25.98% (-0.163 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39% (0.216 0.22)60.99% (-0.22 -0.22)
Cruz Azul Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.34% (-0.367 -0.37)34.66% (0.364 0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.62% (-0.39 -0.39)71.38% (0.387 0.39)
Score Analysis
    Club Tijuana 43.32%
    Cruz Azul 29.42%
    Draw 27.25%
Club TijuanaDrawCruz Azul
1-0 @ 12.13% (0.11 0.11)
2-1 @ 8.67% (0.032 0.03)
2-0 @ 8.18% (0.111 0.11)
3-1 @ 3.89% (0.032 0.03)
3-0 @ 3.68% (0.067 0.07)
3-2 @ 2.06% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 1.31% (0.017 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.24% (0.028 0.03)
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 43.32%
1-1 @ 12.86% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 9% (0.039 0.04)
2-2 @ 4.59% (-0.029000000000001 -0.03)
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 27.25%
0-1 @ 9.54% (-0.054 -0.05)
1-2 @ 6.81% (-0.074 -0.07)
0-2 @ 5.06% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
1-3 @ 2.41% (-0.05 -0.05)
0-3 @ 1.79% (-0.046 -0.05)
2-3 @ 1.62% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 29.42%

How you voted: Tijuana vs Cruz Azul

Club Tijuana
50.0%
Draw
30.0%
Cruz Azul
20.0%
10
Head to Head
Jan 9, 2023 3.10am
Aug 18, 2022 3.05am
Gameweek 9
Cruz Azul
1-2
Tijuana
Rivero (20')
Funes Mori (25' og.)
Lopez (20'), Montecinos (38')
Jan 9, 2022 3am
Gameweek 1
Cruz Azul
2-0
Tijuana
Rodriguez (43'), Baca (66')
Oct 4, 2021 3.06am
May 2, 2021 1am
Gameweek 15
Cruz Azul
1-1
Tijuana
Escobar (30')
Lorona (25')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Cruz AzulCruz Azul1513113692740
2TolucaToluca1595133141932
3Tigres159332213930
4MonterreyMonterrey168442418628
5Atletico San Luis158252518726
6PumasPumas157441813525
7Club TijuanaTijuana157442123-225
8Club AmericaAmerica157352516924
9CD GuadalajaraGuadalajara156452214822
10Atlas155551521-620
11Club Leon153842021-117
12PueblaPuebla1642101629-1314
13NecaxaNecaxa153481925-613
14PachucaPachuca153481926-713
15MazatlanMazatlan152761018-813
16Juarez1541102035-1513
17Santos LagunaSantos Laguna152491025-1510
18QueretaroQueretaro1523101027-179


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