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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Swindon Town
League Two | Gameweek 30
Feb 5, 2022 at 3pm UK
The County Ground
Exeter City

Swindon
1 - 2
Exeter

Tomlinson (58')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Brown (84'), Dieng (88')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Swindon Town and Exeter City.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 39.07%. A win for Swindon Town had a probability of 35.04% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.51%) and 0-2 (6.56%). The likeliest Swindon Town win was 1-0 (8.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Exeter City would win this match.

Result
Swindon TownDrawExeter City
35.04%25.89%39.07%
Both teams to score 54.47%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.18%49.81%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.19%71.81%
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.67%27.33%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.22%62.78%
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.95%25.04%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.28%59.72%
Score Analysis
    Swindon Town 35.04%
    Exeter City 39.07%
    Draw 25.89%
Swindon TownDrawExeter City
1-0 @ 8.88%
2-1 @ 7.97%
2-0 @ 5.76%
3-1 @ 3.45%
3-0 @ 2.49%
3-2 @ 2.39%
4-1 @ 1.12%
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 35.04%
1-1 @ 12.29%
0-0 @ 6.84%
2-2 @ 5.52%
3-3 @ 1.1%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.89%
0-1 @ 9.48%
1-2 @ 8.51%
0-2 @ 6.56%
1-3 @ 3.93%
0-3 @ 3.03%
2-3 @ 2.55%
1-4 @ 1.36%
0-4 @ 1.05%
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 39.07%

Head to Head
Oct 6, 2020 7pm
Group Stage
Swindon
3-4
Exeter
Smith (61', 85'), Palmer (90+2')
Grant (43')
Kite (4'), Seymour (7' pen.), Atangana (63'), Hartridge (68')
Sweeney (78')
Feb 1, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 31
Swindon
2-1
Exeter
Doyle (20'), Hope (45')
Doughty (63')
Williams (34')
Bowman (36')
Aug 17, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 3
Exeter
1-1
Swindon
Jay (72')
Taylor (45')
Doyle (88')
Baudry (39'), Doughty (94')
Jan 1, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 26
Swindon
0-2
Exeter
Forte (37' pen.), Collins (69')
Martin (57'), Ogbene (89')
Oct 13, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 13
Exeter
2-0
Swindon
Forte (14'), Stockley (63')
Boateng (59')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall27184552282458
2Doncaster RoversDoncaster2814774031949
3Notts County27138643271647
4Bradford CityBradford27138638271147
5Crewe AlexandraCrewe281211535241147
6AFC Wimbledon26136738201845
7Port Vale2712963328545
8Salford City2712783124743
9Chesterfield27109843311239
10Grimsby Town28123133845-739
11MK Dons27115114138338
12Fleetwood TownFleetwood269983531436
13Bromley2781183635135
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham2798103639-335
15Colchester UnitedColchester2771373028234
16Swindon TownSwindon29810113843-534
17Gillingham2695122427-332
18BarrowBarrow2787122731-431
19Accrington StanleyAccrington2678113343-1029
20Harrogate TownHarrogate2985162440-1629
21Newport CountyNewport2676133446-1227
22Tranmere RoversTranmere2768132043-2326
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2756162141-2021
24Morecambe2755172242-2020


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