Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oldham Athletic win with a probability of 54%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Crawley Town had a probability of 22.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oldham Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.76%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.4%), while for a Crawley Town win it was 0-1 (6.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.