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Cambridge United
League One | Gameweek 43
Apr 18, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Abbey Stadium
Wycombe Wanderers

Cambridge
1 - 2
Wycombe

Smith (62')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Tafazolli (33'), Wheeler (44')
Grimmer (52')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Cambridge United and Wycombe Wanderers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cambridge 2-0 Peterborough
Saturday, April 15 at 12.30pm in League One
Last Game: Morecambe 1-0 Wycombe
Saturday, April 15 at 3pm in League One

We said: Cambridge United 1-0 Wycombe Wanderers

Morecambe laid the template for their relegation rivals Cambridge to follow in terms of keeping Wycombe at bay at the weekend, and we expect the hosts to do exactly that on Tuesday. The U's have been in excellent form during recent weeks and appear to have renewed optimism in terms of staying in the division, whereas Wycombe's playoff hopes were surely ended by their surprise defeat in the North West at the weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wycombe Wanderers win with a probability of 45.85%. A win for Cambridge United had a probability of 28.18% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wycombe Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.12%) and 0-2 (8.3%). The likeliest Cambridge United win was 1-0 (8.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wycombe Wanderers would win this match.

Result
Cambridge UnitedDrawWycombe Wanderers
28.18% (0.996 1) 25.97% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04) 45.85% (-0.946 -0.95)
Both teams to score 51.46% (0.825 0.83)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.56% (0.743 0.74)52.44% (-0.735 -0.73)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.88% (0.634 0.63)74.12% (-0.62599999999999 -0.63)
Cambridge United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.68% (1.177 1.18)33.32% (-1.17 -1.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.06% (1.271 1.27)69.94% (-1.263 -1.26)
Wycombe Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.17% (-0.119 -0.12)22.83% (0.128 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.44% (-0.181 -0.18)56.56% (0.188 0.19)
Score Analysis
    Cambridge United 28.18%
    Wycombe Wanderers 45.84%
    Draw 25.96%
Cambridge UnitedDrawWycombe Wanderers
1-0 @ 8.36% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
2-1 @ 6.79% (0.208 0.21)
2-0 @ 4.6% (0.157 0.16)
3-1 @ 2.49% (0.151 0.15)
3-2 @ 1.84% (0.106 0.11)
3-0 @ 1.68% (0.109 0.11)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 28.18%
1-1 @ 12.34% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.61% (-0.224 -0.22)
2-2 @ 5.01% (0.136 0.14)
3-3 @ 0.9% (0.049 0.05)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 25.96%
0-1 @ 11.23% (-0.37 -0.37)
1-2 @ 9.12% (-0.041 -0.04)
0-2 @ 8.3% (-0.308 -0.31)
1-3 @ 4.49% (-0.037 -0.04)
0-3 @ 4.09% (-0.167 -0.17)
2-3 @ 2.47% (0.057 0.06)
1-4 @ 1.66% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-4 @ 1.51% (-0.068 -0.07)
2-4 @ 0.91% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 45.84%

How you voted: Cambridge vs Wycombe

Cambridge United
55.6%
Draw
5.6%
Wycombe Wanderers
38.9%
18
Head to Head
Oct 25, 2022 7.45pm
Wycombe
2-3
Cambridge
Vokes (35'), Wing (90+7')
Knibbs (6'), Lankester (45+1'), Jones (77')
Brophy (50')
Apr 5, 2022 7.45pm
Cambridge
1-4
Wycombe
Knibbs (79')
Digby (86')
Vokes (7', 54'), Scowen (56'), McCleary (89')
Mar 1, 2022 7.45pm
Wycombe
3-0
Cambridge
Mehmeti (11', 85'), McCleary (15')
Obita (69'), McCarthy (84')

May (36')
Mar 10, 2018 3pm
Oct 7, 2017 3pm
Cambridge
1-3
Wycombe
Elito (70' pen.)
Ikpeazu (45'), Maris (45'), Legge (63')
Legge (82')
Eze (48', 57'), Umerah (89')
Stewart (45'), Saunders (72')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham19143235161945
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe20135243222144
3Wrexham21126331141742
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield20123534181639
5Stockport CountyStockport21106534221236
6Lincoln CityLincoln218762825331
7Reading209473030031
8Bolton WanderersBolton199462829-131
9Barnsley218672930-130
10Mansfield TownMansfield198472322128
11Charlton AthleticCharlton207672319427
12Blackpool207672931-227
13Exeter CityExeter208391922-327
14Stevenage197571517-226
15Leyton Orient207492320325
16Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2073103837124
17Wigan AthleticWigan206681918124
18Rotherham UnitedRotherham196581921-223
19Bristol Rovers2064101829-1122
20Northampton TownNorthampton2156102134-1321
21Crawley TownCrawley2054112033-1319
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge2045112035-1517
23Burton Albion2026121732-1512
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2033142141-2012


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