League of Ireland Premier | Gameweek 21
Jun 13, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Dalymount Park
We said: Bohemians 1-1 Derry City
Despite being well in the race for the Irish title, Derry have been unconvincing on their travels in 2024, winning just two of their 10 matches away from Brandywell Stadium.
That being said, Bohemians' form in front of their Dalymount Park crowd is hardly inspiring either, so we are predicting a close affair and a share of the spoils on Thursday night.
Read more.
Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derry City win with a probability of 45.37% . A draw had a probability of 28% and a win for Bohemians had a probability of 26.66% .
The most likely scoreline for a Derry City win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.72% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.07%) and 1-2 (8.56%) . The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.94%) , while for a Bohemians win it was 1-0 (9.79%) . The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood . Our data analysis correctly predicted that Derry City would win this match.
Result Bohemians Draw Derry City 26.66% ( -0.01) 27.97% ( -0) 45.37% ( 0.02)
Both teams to score 44.77% ( 0.01)
39.46% ( 0.01) 60.54% ( -0.01)
19.35% ( 0.01) 80.64% ( -0.01)
61.06% ( -0.01) 38.94% ( 0.01)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 24.33% ( -0.01) 75.67% ( 0.01)
73.33% ( 0.01) 26.67% ( -0.01)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 38.09% ( 0.02) 61.91% ( -0.02)
Bohemians 26.66%
Derry City 45.36%
Draw 27.96%
Bohemians Draw Derry City 1-0 @ 9.79% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 6.1% ( -0) 2-0 @ 4.62% ( -0) 3-1 @ 1.92% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.45% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.27% Other @ 1.51% Total : 26.66% 1-1 @ 12.94% 0-0 @ 10.38% 2-2 @ 4.03% Other @ 0.61% Total : 27.96% 0-1 @ 13.72% 0-2 @ 9.07% ( 0) 1-2 @ 8.56% ( 0) 0-3 @ 4% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.77% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.78% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.32% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.25% ( 0) Other @ 1.91% Total : 45.36%
How you voted: Bohemians vs Derry
28
rhs 2.0
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