Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kawasaki Frontale win with a probability of 62.38%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Sanfrecce Hiroshima had a probability of 16.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kawasaki Frontale win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.29%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.79%), while for a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win it was 0-1 (4.82%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kawasaki Frontale would win this match.