Coverage of the J1 League clash between Gamba Osaka and Sanfrecce Hiroshima.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Vissel Kobe 4-0 Gamba Osaka
Saturday, March 4 at 5am in J1 League
Saturday, March 4 at 5am in J1 League
Last Game: Yokohama 1-1 Hiroshima
Friday, March 3 at 10am in J1 League
Friday, March 3 at 10am in J1 League
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win with a probability of 47.41%. A win for Gamba Osaka had a probability of 27% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.28%) and 0-2 (8.55%). The likeliest Gamba Osaka win was 1-0 (7.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sanfrecce Hiroshima would win this match.
Result | ||
Gamba Osaka | Draw | Sanfrecce Hiroshima |
27% ( -0.04) | 25.59% ( -0.05) | 47.41% ( 0.09) |
Both teams to score 51.78% ( 0.11) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.38% ( 0.16) | 51.62% ( -0.16) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.59% ( 0.14) | 73.4% ( -0.14) |
Gamba Osaka Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.19% ( 0.05) | 33.8% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.53% ( 0.05) | 70.47% ( -0.06) |
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.22% ( 0.1) | 21.78% ( -0.11) |