MX23RW : Wednesday, December 25 04:49:00| >> :120:7085:7085:
Uruguay national football team
Friendlies 1
Jun 15, 2023 at 12.30am UK
Estadio Centenario
Nicaragua national football team

Uruguay
4 - 1
Nicaragua

Arezo (8'), Zalazar (37', 82'), Rodriguez (56')
Araujo (56'), Borbas (87')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Coronel (90+2')
Serapio (44'), Coronel (49'), Tellez (58')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's friendly clash between Uruguay and Nicaragua, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Uruguay

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: South Korea 1-2 Uruguay
Tuesday, March 28 at 12pm in International Friendlies

Nicaragua

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Panama 3-2 Nicaragua
Sunday, June 11 at 1am in International Friendlies

We said: Uruguay 3-0 Nicaragua

 While this is certainly not the Uruguay squad that we are used to seeing in recent years, La Celeste should still have too much quality in their ranks for the visitors, particularly with an anticipated boost following Bielsa's appointment. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Uruguay win with a probability of 71.77%. A draw had a probability of 18.7% and a win for Nicaragua had a probability of 9.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Uruguay win was 2-0 with a probability of 15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (14.63%) and 3-0 (10.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.62%), while for a Nicaragua win it was 0-1 (4.2%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Uruguay would win this match.

Result
UruguayDrawNicaragua
71.77% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02) 18.73% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 9.5% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 38.79% (0.031999999999996 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.17% (0.011000000000003 0.01)50.83% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.29% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)72.71% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Uruguay Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.15% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)12.85% (0.0020000000000007 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.78% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)39.22% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Nicaragua Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
44.51% (0.037000000000006 0.04)55.48% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
11.83% (0.023000000000001 0.02)88.17% (-0.024999999999991 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Uruguay 71.76%
    Nicaragua 9.5%
    Draw 18.73%
UruguayDrawNicaragua
2-0 @ 15% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-0 @ 14.63%
3-0 @ 10.26% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.84% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-1 @ 6.05% (0.0020000000000007 0)
4-0 @ 5.26% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 3.1% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-0 @ 2.16% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 1.78% (0.0029999999999999 0)
5-1 @ 1.27%
4-2 @ 0.91% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 71.76%
1-1 @ 8.62% (0.004999999999999 0)
0-0 @ 7.13% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-2 @ 2.6% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.38%
Total : 18.73%
0-1 @ 4.2% (0.0029999999999992 0)
1-2 @ 2.54% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
0-2 @ 1.24% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.52%
Total : 9.5%

How you voted: Uruguay vs Nicaragua

Uruguay
84.8%
Draw
15.2%
Nicaragua
0.0%
33
rhs 2.0
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