MX23RW : Thursday, January 30 12:57:33| >> :60:16:16:
Spain national football team
Friendlies 1
Mar 26, 2024 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio Olimpico de Sevilla
Brazil national football team

Spain
3 - 3
Brazil

Rodri (12' pen., 87' pen.), Olmo (36')
Le Normand (34'), Laporte (42'), Carvajal (51')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Rodrygo (40'), Endrick (50'), Paqueta (90+6' pen.)
Guimaraes (42'), Bruno (50'), Paqueta (58'), Endrick (78'), Pereira (85'), Beraldo (90+3')

The Match

Match Report

Lucas Paqueta scores a 96th-minute penalty as Brazil rescue a thrilling 3-3 friendly draw with Spain at the Santiago Bernabeu.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's friendly clash between Spain and Brazil, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole looks at how Brazil could line up in Tuesday's international friendly with Spain.

Form, Standings, Stats

Spain

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Spain 0-1 Colombia
Friday, March 22 at 8.30pm in International Friendlies
Current Group A Standings P GD PTS
1Spain82021
2Scotland8917
3Norway8211
4Georgia8-68
5Cyprus8-250

Brazil

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: England 0-1 Brazil
Saturday, March 23 at 7pm in International Friendlies

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spain win with a probability of 56.42%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Brazil had a probability of 20.43%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spain win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.06%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11%), while for a Brazil win it was 0-1 (6.15%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
SpainDrawBrazil
56.42% (0.027000000000001 0.03) 23.14% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03) 20.43% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Both teams to score 51.94% (0.097999999999999 0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.23% (0.129 0.13)47.77% (-0.131 -0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.04% (0.118 0.12)69.96% (-0.12100000000001 -0.12)
Spain Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.27% (0.055000000000007 0.06)16.73% (-0.056999999999999 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.36% (0.099999999999994 0.1)46.64% (-0.102 -0.1)
Brazil Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.37% (0.073 0.07)37.63% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.59% (0.075000000000003 0.08)74.4% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)
Score Analysis
    Spain 56.42%
    Brazil 20.43%
    Draw 23.14%
SpainDrawBrazil
1-0 @ 11.25% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-0 @ 10.06% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.84% (0.0040000000000013 0)
3-0 @ 6% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 5.86% (0.013 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.87% (0.013 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.68% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.62% (0.011 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.28% (0.008 0.01)
5-0 @ 0.96% (0.004 0)
5-1 @ 0.94% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 56.42%
1-1 @ 11% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.29% (-0.034000000000001 -0.03)
2-2 @ 4.81% (0.012 0.01)
3-3 @ 0.93% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 23.14%
0-1 @ 6.15% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-2 @ 5.38% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 3.01% (-0.004 -0)
1-3 @ 1.75% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 1.57% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
0-3 @ 0.98% (0.001 0)
Other @ 1.6%
Total : 20.43%

How you voted: Spain vs Brazil

Spain
34.5%
Draw
25.3%
Brazil
40.2%
87
Head to Head
Jun 30, 2013 11pm
Final
Brazil
3-0
Spain
> Match Report
May 27, 1934 3pm
Round of 16
Spain
3-1
Brazil
Chato (18' pen., 25'), Langara (29')
Da Silva (55')
rhs 2.0
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