MX23RW : Tuesday, December 24 12:57:34| >> :60:223:223:
Poland national football team
Friendlies 1
Jun 7, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stadion Slaski
Ukraine national football team

Poland
3 - 1
Ukraine

Walukiewicz (11'), Zielinski (16'), Romanczuk (30')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Dovbyk (41')
Tymchyk (49'), Malinovskyi (56'), Talovierov (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's friendly clash between Poland and Ukraine, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Poland

All competitions
Last Game: Wales 0-0 Poland (4-5 pen.)
Tuesday, March 26 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Ukraine

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Germany 0-0 Ukraine
Monday, June 3 at 7.45pm in International Friendlies

We said: Poland 1-1 Ukraine

 Although Ukraine may have benefitted from their outing on Monday, Poland will feel fresher and better prepared. All things considered, these two well-matched teams may cancel each other out in a low-scoring draw in Warsaw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Poland win with a probability of 60.19%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Ukraine had a probability of 17.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a Poland win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.56%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.77%), while for a Ukraine win it was 0-1 (5.98%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Poland would win this match.

Result
PolandDrawUkraine
60.19% (-0.0019999999999953 -0) 22.72% (-0.0040000000000013 -0) 17.08% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Both teams to score 47.46% (0.017000000000003 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.23% (0.017999999999994 0.02)50.77% (-0.017999999999994 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.34% (0.016000000000002 0.02)72.66% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)
Poland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.52% (0.0040000000000049 0)16.47% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.81% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)46.19% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Ukraine Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.82% (0.016999999999996 0.02)43.18% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.56% (0.014999999999997 0.01)79.44% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Poland 60.18%
    Ukraine 17.08%
    Draw 22.72%
PolandDrawUkraine
1-0 @ 12.82% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 11.56% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.71% (0.0010000000000012 0)
3-0 @ 6.95% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 5.84% (0.0020000000000007 0)
4-0 @ 3.13%
4-1 @ 2.63% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 2.45% (0.0019999999999998 0)
5-0 @ 1.13%
4-2 @ 1.11% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-1 @ 0.95%
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 60.18%
1-1 @ 10.77%
0-0 @ 7.11% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-2 @ 4.08% (0.0019999999999998 0)
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 22.72%
0-1 @ 5.98% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-2 @ 4.52% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-2 @ 2.51% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-3 @ 1.27% (0.002 0)
2-3 @ 1.14% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 1.67%
Total : 17.08%

How you voted: Poland vs Ukraine

Poland
51.1%
Draw
26.7%
Ukraine
22.2%
135
Head to Head
Nov 11, 2020 7.45pm
Friendlies 1
Poland
2-0
Ukraine
Piatek (40'), Moder (63')
Goralski (44')

Kharatin (61')
Mar 31, 2020 7.45pm
International Friendlies
Poland
P-P
Ukraine
Jun 21, 2016 5pm
Group Stage
Ukraine
0-1
Poland

Rotan (25'), Kucher (38')
Blaszczykowski (54')
Kapustka (60')
> Match Report
Oct 11, 2013 7pm
Qualifiers
Ukraine
1-0
Poland
Yarmolenko (64')
Stepanenko (3'), Edmar (8'), Rakitskiy (55'), Khacheridi (90')

Peszko (79'), Sczcesny (82')
> Match Report
Mar 22, 2013 7.45pm
Qualifiers
Poland
1-3
Ukraine
Piszczek
Yarmolenko, Gusev, Zozulya
> Match Report
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