MX23RW : Wednesday, December 25 14:38:12| >> :60:1768:1768:
El Salvador national football team
Friendlies 1
Jun 15, 2024 at 1.30am UK
Subaru Park
Peru national football team

El Salvador
0 - 1
Peru


Menjivar (10'), Cruz (48')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Flores (17')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's friendly clash between El Salvador and Peru, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

El Salvador

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: St Vincent & Gr. 1-3 El Salvador
Sunday, June 9 at 8pm in World Cup Qualifying - North Central America

Peru

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Peru 0-0 Paraguay
Saturday, June 8 at 1.30am in International Friendlies

We said: El Salvador 0-2 Peru

 El Salvador are capable of making this a competitive match, which is what Peru will want in their final match before the Copa America, but we are expecting the White and Reds to record a comfortable victory to make it five successes over El Salvador in seven meetings. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a El Salvador win with a probability of 51.07%. A draw had a probability of 28.1% and a win for Peru had a probability of 20.86%.

The most likely scoreline for a El Salvador win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.12%) and 2-1 (8.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.4%), while for a Peru win it was 0-1 (9.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 16.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for El Salvador in this match.

Result
El SalvadorDrawPeru
51.07% (0.986 0.99) 28.07% (-0.211 -0.21) 20.86% (-0.774 -0.77)
Both teams to score 39.38% (-0.35 -0.35)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
35.36% (0.024000000000001 0.02)64.63% (-0.02300000000001 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
16.36% (0.016999999999999 0.02)83.63% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)
El Salvador Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.23% (0.48299999999999 0.48)25.76% (-0.482 -0.48)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.29% (0.65 0.65)60.71% (-0.649 -0.65)
Peru Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.04% (-0.82100000000001 -0.82)46.95% (0.82 0.82)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.55% (-0.629 -0.63)82.45% (0.63 0.63)
Score Analysis
    El Salvador 51.06%
    Peru 20.86%
    Draw 28.06%
El SalvadorDrawPeru
1-0 @ 16.4% (0.21 0.21)
2-0 @ 11.12% (0.29 0.29)
2-1 @ 8.41% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
3-0 @ 5.03% (0.199 0.2)
3-1 @ 3.8% (0.065 0.07)
4-0 @ 1.71% (0.09 0.09)
3-2 @ 1.44% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.29% (0.039 0.04)
Other @ 1.87%
Total : 51.06%
1-1 @ 12.4% (-0.13 -0.13)
0-0 @ 12.09% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 3.18% (-0.062 -0.06)
Other @ 0.39%
Total : 28.06%
0-1 @ 9.15% (-0.221 -0.22)
1-2 @ 4.69% (-0.158 -0.16)
0-2 @ 3.46% (-0.166 -0.17)
1-3 @ 1.18% (-0.068 -0.07)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 20.86%

How you voted: El Salvador vs Peru

El Salvador
21.4%
Draw
14.3%
Peru
64.3%
42
Head to Head
Sep 28, 2022 1am
International Friendly
El Salvador
1-4
Peru
Larin (34' pen.)
Zavaleta (19' og.), Lapadula (40' pen.), Reyna (81'), Cueva (86' pen.)
> Preview
Mar 27, 2019 12am
International Friendlies
Peru
0-2
El Salvador

Tapia (82')
Trauco (61' og.), Ceren (90')
Monterrosa (83')
rhs 2.0
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