MX23RW : Wednesday, December 25 13:50:55| >> :120:3848:3848:
Peru national football team
Friendlies 1
Mar 27, 2024 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Monumental
Dominican Republic national football team

Peru
4 - 1
Dominican Rep.

Pena (18'), Castillo (45+1'), Quispe (54'), Guerrero (90+4' pen.)
Castillo (52'), Cartagena (83')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Carlos Lopez (58')
Japa (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's friendly clash between Peru and Dominican Republic, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Peru

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Peru 2-0 Nicaragua
Saturday, March 23 at 1.30am in International Friendlies

Dominican Republic

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Dominican Rep. 0-0 Aruba
Saturday, March 23 at 10pm in International Friendlies

We said: Peru 4-0 Dominican Republic

 While the Peruvians are not the most potent attacking side in CONMEBOL, we expect them to have their share of openings against a Caribbean team that have little experience playing against sides from outside their region. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peru win with a probability of 40.13%. A win for Dominican Republic had a probability of 31.69% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Peru win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.16%) and 2-0 (7.64%). The likeliest Dominican Republic win was 0-1 (10.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.17%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Peru would win this match.

Result
PeruDrawDominican Republic
40.13% (-0.603 -0.6) 28.18% (0.207 0.21) 31.69% (0.396 0.4)
Both teams to score 46.62% (-0.453 -0.45)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.58% (-0.63 -0.63)59.41% (0.628 0.63)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.21% (-0.485 -0.48)79.79% (0.483 0.48)
Peru Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.04% (-0.643 -0.64)28.96% (0.643 0.64)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.15% (-0.805 -0.81)64.85% (0.804 0.8)
Dominican Republic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.63% (-0.044000000000011 -0.04)34.37% (0.042000000000002 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.92% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)71.08% (0.048000000000002 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Peru 40.12%
    Dominican Republic 31.69%
    Draw 28.18%
PeruDrawDominican Republic
1-0 @ 12.33% (0.07 0.07)
2-1 @ 8.16% (-0.11 -0.11)
2-0 @ 7.64% (-0.094 -0.09)
3-1 @ 3.37% (-0.107 -0.11)
3-0 @ 3.16% (-0.097 -0.1)
3-2 @ 1.8% (-0.059 -0.06)
4-1 @ 1.05% (-0.052 -0.05)
4-0 @ 0.98% (-0.048 -0.05)
Other @ 1.63%
Total : 40.12%
1-1 @ 13.17% (0.06 0.06)
0-0 @ 9.95% (0.234 0.23)
2-2 @ 4.36% (-0.064 -0.06)
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 28.18%
0-1 @ 10.63% (0.24 0.24)
1-2 @ 7.03% (0.023 0.02)
0-2 @ 5.68% (0.119 0.12)
1-3 @ 2.5% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 2.02% (0.04 0.04)
2-3 @ 1.55% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 31.69%

How you voted: Peru vs Dominican Rep.

Peru
83.3%
Draw
8.3%
Dominican Republic
8.3%
12
rhs 2.0
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