MX23RW : Wednesday, February 5 17:40:05| >> :60:79:79:
Manchester City logo
Friendlies
Jul 21, 2022 at 2am UK
Etihad Stadium

Man City
2 - 1
America

De Bruyne (30', 45+1')
Cancelo (41')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Martin (43')
Lara (18'), Valdez (59'), Layun (61')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's pre-season clash between Manchester City and Club America, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole looks at how Manchester City could line up in Wednesday's pre-season friendly with Club America.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Manchester City 2-1 Club America

It is always difficult to know exactly what to expect from a team's first pre-season match, especially against a side that have already started their domestic season. America will provide competitive opposition for Man City, but we are tipping the English champions to emerge victorious here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 73.02%. A draw had a probability of 16.1% and a win for Club America had a probability of 10.86%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.35%) and 3-0 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.51%), while for a Club America win it was 1-2 (3.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Manchester City in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Manchester City.

Result
Manchester CityDrawClub America
73.02% (0.178 0.18) 16.12% (-0.394 -0.39) 10.86% (0.221 0.22)
Both teams to score 52.83% (2.42 2.42)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.04% (2.66 2.66)34.97% (-2.655 -2.65)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.05% (2.911 2.91)56.95% (-2.906 -2.91)
Manchester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.72% (0.699 0.7)8.28% (-0.694 -0.69)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
71.09% (1.704 1.7)28.91% (-1.699 -1.7)
Club America Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.6% (2.219 2.22)42.4% (-2.214 -2.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.22% (1.845 1.85)78.78% (-1.839 -1.84)
Score Analysis
    Manchester City 73.02%
    Club America 10.86%
    Draw 16.12%
Manchester CityDrawClub America
2-0 @ 10.89% (-0.74 -0.74)
2-1 @ 9.35% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
3-0 @ 9.05% (-0.303 -0.3)
1-0 @ 8.75% (-0.905 -0.91)
3-1 @ 7.76% (0.217 0.22)
4-0 @ 5.64%
4-1 @ 4.84% (0.287 0.29)
3-2 @ 3.33% (0.285 0.29)
5-0 @ 2.81% (0.09 0.09)
5-1 @ 2.41% (0.216 0.22)
4-2 @ 2.07% (0.239 0.24)
6-0 @ 1.17% (0.074 0.07)
5-2 @ 1.03% (0.148 0.15)
6-1 @ 1% (0.119 0.12)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 73.02%
1-1 @ 7.51% (-0.286 -0.29)
2-2 @ 4.01% (0.221 0.22)
0-0 @ 3.51% (-0.493 -0.49)
3-3 @ 0.95% (0.133 0.13)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 16.12%
1-2 @ 3.22% (0.076 0.08)
0-1 @ 3.01% (-0.219 -0.22)
0-2 @ 1.29% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.15% (0.128 0.13)
1-3 @ 0.92% (0.075 0.08)
Other @ 1.27%
Total : 10.86%

How you voted: Man City vs America

Manchester City
86.4%
Draw
1.9%
Club America
11.7%
103
rhs 2.0
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