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FA Cup
FA Cup | Third Round Qualifying
Sep 28, 2024 at 3pm UK
Victory Road

Leiston
1 - 1
Hornchurch

Kyran (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Nash (56')
Coverage of the FA Cup Third Round Qualifying clash between Leiston and AFC Hornchurch.

Form, Standings, Stats

Leiston

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Leiston 3-1 Brentwood Town
Tuesday, September 17 at 7.45pm in FA Cup
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

AFC Hornchurch

All competitions
FA Cup
Last Game: Hornchurch 0-2 Chelmsford City
Saturday, September 21 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Hornchurch win with a probability of 46.47%. A win for Leiston had a probability of 30.43% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an AFC Hornchurch win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.42%) and 0-2 (6.59%). The likeliest Leiston win was 2-1 (7.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.

Result
LeistonDrawAFC Hornchurch
30.43% (0.015999999999998 0.02) 23.1% (-0.0019999999999989 -0) 46.47% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 62.58% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.5% (0.014000000000003 0.01)38.5% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.21% (0.015999999999998 0.02)60.79% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Leiston Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.33% (0.016000000000005 0.02)24.66% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.8% (0.023000000000003 0.02)59.19% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
AFC Hornchurch Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.06%16.93% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53% (0.0030000000000001 0)47% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Score Analysis
    Leiston 30.43%
    AFC Hornchurch 46.47%
    Draw 23.1%
LeistonDrawAFC Hornchurch
2-1 @ 7.27% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-0 @ 5.85% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-0 @ 4.09% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 3.39% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-2 @ 3.01% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 1.91% (0.002 0)
4-1 @ 1.19% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.05% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 30.43%
1-1 @ 10.38%
2-2 @ 6.45% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-0 @ 4.18% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-3 @ 1.78% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 23.1%
1-2 @ 9.22% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-1 @ 7.42% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-2 @ 6.59% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 5.46% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-3 @ 3.9% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 3.82% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 2.42%
0-4 @ 1.73% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-4 @ 1.7%
Other @ 4.22%
Total : 46.47%

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4Arsenal115421812619
5Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest115421510519
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7Fulham115331613318
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle115331311218
9Aston Villa115331717018
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1151523131016
11Brentford115152222016
12Bournemouth114341515015
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd114341212015
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham113351319-612
15Leicester CityLeicester112451421-710
16Everton112451017-710
17Ipswich TownIpswich111551222-108
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> Premier League Full Table


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