Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Badshot Lea win with a probability of 68.4%. A draw had a probability of 16.6% and a win for Stansfeld had a probability of 15.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Badshot Lea win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.93%) and 2-0 (7.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.79%), while for a Stansfeld win it was 1-2 (4.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Badshot Lea would win this match.