MX23RW : Sunday, June 16 12:41:17| >> :60:208:208:
Serbia national football team
European Championship | Group Stage
Jun 16, 2024 at 8pm UK
VELTINS-Arena
England national football team

Serbia
vs.
England

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's European Championship clash between Serbia and England, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Serbia could line up for Sunday's Euro 2024 Group C clash with England.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Last Game: Sweden 0-3 Serbia
Saturday, June 8 at 5pm in International Friendlies
All competitions
Last Game: England 0-1 Iceland
Friday, June 7 at 7.45pm in International Friendlies

We say: Serbia 1-2 England

As a third of Serbia's qualifying goals came from headers - the highest ratio of any of the 24 teams at Euro 2024 - and England are without their aerial dominator in Harry Maguire, expect to see Jordan Pickford's goal breached at least once at the Veltins-Arena. For all of England's lackadaisical attacking play against a backs-against-the-wall Iceland, though, Southgate can now put out a near full-strength XI and should see his troops rise to the occasion to put three points in the bag right away. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a England win with a probability of 49.42%. A win for Serbia has a probability of 26.48% and a draw has a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a England win is 0-1 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (9.56%) and 0-2 (8.18%). The likeliest Serbia win is 1-0 (6.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.35%).

Result
SerbiaDrawEngland
26.48% (-0.977 -0.98) 24.1% (-0.334 -0.33) 49.42% (1.31 1.31)
Both teams to score 56.11% (0.278 0.28)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.28% (0.746 0.75)45.72% (-0.745 -0.75)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.96% (0.703 0.7)68.04% (-0.703 -0.7)
Serbia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.9% (-0.355 -0.36)31.09% (0.354 0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.58% (-0.41399999999999 -0.41)67.42% (0.416 0.42)
England Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.43% (0.819 0.82)18.57% (-0.818 -0.82)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.16% (1.36 1.36)49.83% (-1.359 -1.36)
Score Analysis
    Serbia 26.48%
    England 49.42%
    Draw 24.09%
SerbiaDrawEngland
1-0 @ 6.75% (-0.285 -0.29)
2-1 @ 6.63% (-0.169 -0.17)
2-0 @ 3.94% (-0.206 -0.21)
3-1 @ 2.58% (-0.092 -0.09)
3-2 @ 2.17% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-0 @ 1.53% (-0.096 -0.1)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 26.48%
1-1 @ 11.35% (-0.18 -0.18)
0-0 @ 5.77% (-0.186 -0.19)
2-2 @ 5.58% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-3 @ 1.22% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.09%
0-1 @ 9.72% (-0.055 -0.05)
1-2 @ 9.56% (0.1 0.1)
0-2 @ 8.18% (0.164 0.16)
1-3 @ 5.37% (0.191 0.19)
0-3 @ 4.59% (0.207 0.21)
2-3 @ 3.13% (0.083 0.08)
1-4 @ 2.26% (0.136 0.14)
0-4 @ 1.93% (0.134 0.13)
2-4 @ 1.32% (0.068 0.07)
Other @ 3.36%
Total : 49.42%

Who will win Sunday's European Championship clash between Serbia and England?

Serbia
Draw
England
Serbia
14.7%
Draw
9.5%
England
75.8%
537
Head to Head
Oct 16, 2012 5pm
Oct 12, 2012 6pm
Build-up
England's Trent Alexander-Arnold celebrates scoring their second goal on June 2, 2024
How England could line up for Euro 2024 opener: Gareth Southgate's predicted XI
Sports Mole looks at how Gareth Southgate could line up his England side for their opening Euro 2024 fixture against Serbia on June 16.
Jun 8, 11:26
Trent Alexander-Arnold celebrates scoring for England on June 3, 2024
Gareth Southgate 'makes major Alexander-Arnold decision' for Euro 2024 opener
England manager Gareth Southgate reportedly plans to start Liverpool's Trent Alexander-Arnold in midfield for the Three Lions' Euro 2024 opener with Serbia this weekend.
Jun 11, 08:45
England manager Gareth Southgate pictured on June 11, 2024
England handed multiple fitness boosts ahead of Euro 2024 opener
England receive numerous fitness boosts ahead of Sunday's Euro 2024 opener against Serbia, as all 26 of Gareth Southgate's players train on Tuesday.
Jun 11, 17:45
England's John Stones in action with Iceland's Jon Dagur Thorsteinsson on June 7, 2024
England handed concern over key defender ahead of Euro 2024 opener
England and Manchester City centre-back John Stones misses Three Lions training through illness ahead of Sunday's Euro 2024 opener against Serbia.
Jun 12, 13:34
England manager Gareth Southgate pictured on June 11, 2024
England Euro 2024 quarantine measures effective as key man returns to training before Serbia clash
England receive a huge fitness boost ahead of their opening Euro 2024 tie, as John Stones makes a swift return to training following an illness.
Jun 13, 13:16
England's Harry Kane during training on June 11, 2024
'It's probably the highest privilege' - Harry Kane comments on breaking England record at Euro 2024
Harry Kane is hoping to make history in more ways that one when he captains Euro 2024 favourites England at this summer's tournament in Germany.
Jun 13, 15:29
Serbia's Strahinja Pavlovic celebrates scoring their first goal with teammates on October 14, 2023
How Serbia could line up against England
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Serbia could line up for Sunday's Euro 2024 Group C clash with England.
Jun 14, 09:16
Trent Alexander-Arnold celebrates scoring for England on June 3, 2024
How England could line up against Serbia
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how England could line up for Sunday's Euro 2024 Group C clash with Serbia.
Jun 14, 09:24
England's Harry Kane during training on June 11, 2024
England's Harry Kane to break multiple Three Lions records in Euro 2024 opener
England captain and Bayern Munich striker Harry Kane is poised to break a multitude of Three Lions records in Sunday's Euro 2024 opener against Serbia.
09:15
rhs 2.0
Euro 2024 fixtures header
Sunday, June 16
 
5pm
Monday, June 17
 
2pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
Tuesday, June 18
 
5pm
Wednesday, June 19
 
2pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
Thursday, June 20
 
2pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
Group Stage
Spain
vs.
Italy
Friday, June 21
 
2pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
Saturday, June 22
 
5pm
 
8pm
Sunday, June 23
 
8pm
 
8pm
Monday, June 24
 
8pm
 
8pm
Tuesday, June 25
 
5pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
 
8pm
Wednesday, June 26
 
5pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
 
8pm
Saturday, June 29
Sunday, June 30
Monday, July 1
Tuesday, July 2
Friday, July 5
Saturday, July 6
Tuesday, July 9
Wednesday, July 10
Sunday, July 14
Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Germany Germany11003
2 Switzerland Switzerland11003
3 Hungary Hungary10010
4 Scotland flag Scotland10010

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Spain Spain11003
2 Italy Italy11003
3 Albania national flag Albania10010
4 Croatia Croatia10010

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Denmark Denmark00000
2 England flag England00000
3 Serbia Serbia00000
4 Slovenia Slovenia00000

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Austria Austria00000
2 France France00000
3 Netherlands Netherlands00000
4 Poland Poland00000

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Belgium Belgium00000
2 Romania Romania00000
3 Slovakia Slovakia00000
4 Ukraine Ukraine00000

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Czech Republic Czech Republic00000
2 Georgia Georgia00000
3 Portugal Portugal00000
4 Turkey Turkey00000


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