MX23RW : Sunday, December 22 16:04:14| >> :600:6036328:6036328:
Portugal national football team
Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage
Oct 13, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Estadio Do Dragao
Slovakia national football team

Portugal
3 - 2
Slovakia

Ramos (18'), Ronaldo (29' pen., 72')
Fernandes (57'), Palhinha (75')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Hancko (69'), Lobotka (80')
Pekarik (31'), Duda (61'), Suslov (85'), Hrosovsky (90+4'), Gyomber (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's European Championship qualifying clash between Portugal and Slovakia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Last Game: Portugal 9-0 Luxembourg
Monday, September 11 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
All competitions
Last Game: Slovakia 3-0 Liechtenstein
Monday, September 11 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

We said: Portugal 2-0 Slovakia

Slovakia are a national team to be respected, and they are more than capable of picking up a strong result on Friday evening. Portugal are on a roll at the moment, though, and we are expecting Martinez's side to make it seven wins from seven in the section courtesy of a comfortable victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portugal win with a probability of 56.93%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Slovakia had a probability of 18.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portugal win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.33%) and 2-1 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.42%), while for a Slovakia win it was 0-1 (6.87%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Portugal would win this match.

Result
PortugalDrawSlovakia
56.93% (-1.56 -1.56) 24.28% (0.556 0.56) 18.78% (1.006 1.01)
Both teams to score 46% (0.141 0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.65% (-0.734 -0.73)54.34% (0.736 0.74)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.27% (-0.615 -0.62)75.73% (0.61699999999999 0.62)
Portugal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.04% (-0.85599999999999 -0.86)18.96% (0.858 0.86)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.51% (-1.447 -1.45)50.48% (1.448 1.45)
Slovakia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.76% (0.768 0.77)43.23% (-0.766 -0.77)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.51% (0.636 0.64)79.49% (-0.63500000000001 -0.64)
Score Analysis
    Portugal 56.93%
    Slovakia 18.78%
    Draw 24.28%
PortugalDrawSlovakia
1-0 @ 13.63% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-0 @ 11.33% (-0.3 -0.3)
2-1 @ 9.5% (-0.048 -0.05)
3-0 @ 6.28% (-0.347 -0.35)
3-1 @ 5.27% (-0.174 -0.17)
4-0 @ 2.61% (-0.221 -0.22)
3-2 @ 2.21% (-0.025 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2.19% (-0.136 -0.14)
4-2 @ 0.92% (-0.037 -0.04)
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 56.93%
1-1 @ 11.42% (0.25 0.25)
0-0 @ 8.2% (0.232 0.23)
2-2 @ 3.99% (0.064 0.06)
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 24.28%
0-1 @ 6.87% (0.335 0.34)
1-2 @ 4.79% (0.205 0.21)
0-2 @ 2.88% (0.198 0.2)
1-3 @ 1.34% (0.084 0.08)
2-3 @ 1.11% (0.041 0.04)
Other @ 1.78%
Total : 18.78%

How you voted: Portugal vs Slovakia

Portugal
91.0%
Draw
6.7%
Slovakia
2.2%
134
Head to Head
Sep 8, 2023 7.45pm
Group Stage
Slovakia
0-1
Portugal

Schranz (35'), Duda (53'), Calzona (87')
Fernandes (43')
Ronaldo (62')
rhs 2.0
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