MX23RW : Monday, January 27 06:01:15| >> :600:9110548:9110548:
Euro 2020 header take 8

Euro 2024
Montenegro national football team
Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage
Sep 10, 2023 at 5pm UK
Stadion Pod Goricom
Bulgaria national football team

Montenegro
2 - 1
Bulgaria

Savic (45+1'), Jovetic (90+6')
Vujacic (24'), Radulovic (25'), Durdevic (45+3'), Krstovic (59'), Bakic (81'), Bakic (82')
Vujacic (59')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Borukov (79')
Nikolaev Popov (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between Montenegro and Bulgaria, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Montenegro

All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Lithuania 2-2 Montenegro
Thursday, September 7 at 5pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Bulgaria

All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Bulgaria 0-1 Iran
Thursday, September 7 at 5pm in International Friendlies

We said: Montenegro 1-0 Bulgaria

 A lack of bite means that Bulgaria do not pose a major threat to Montenegro's qualification dreams - they have averaged only a goal every two games in their last six matches. As a result, the hosts should secure maximum points and keep pressure on the nations above them in Group G. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bulgaria win with a probability of 42.46%. A win for Montenegro had a probability of 28.82% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bulgaria win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.45%) and 1-2 (8.18%). The likeliest Montenegro win was 1-0 (10.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Montenegro would win this match.

Result
MontenegroDrawBulgaria
28.82% (0.015999999999998 0.02) 28.72% (0.024000000000001 0.02) 42.46% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)
Both teams to score 44.05% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.93% (-0.073 -0.07)62.07% (0.073 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.21% (-0.053999999999998 -0.05)81.79% (0.052999999999997 0.05)
Montenegro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)38% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.23% (-0.029 -0.03)74.77% (0.025999999999996 0.03)
Bulgaria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.06% (-0.057999999999993 -0.06)28.94% (0.057000000000002 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.17% (-0.073 -0.07)64.83% (0.070999999999998 0.07)
Score Analysis
    Montenegro 28.82%
    Bulgaria 42.45%
    Draw 28.71%
MontenegroDrawBulgaria
1-0 @ 10.64% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-1 @ 6.38% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-0 @ 5.15% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.06% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-0 @ 1.66%
3-2 @ 1.28% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 1.65%
Total : 28.82%
1-1 @ 13.19% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 10.99% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-2 @ 3.96% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 0.57%
Total : 28.71%
0-1 @ 13.63% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
0-2 @ 8.45% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-2 @ 8.18% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
0-3 @ 3.49% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.38% (-0.01 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.64% (-0.006 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.08% (-0.004 -0)
1-4 @ 1.05% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 1.55%
Total : 42.45%

How you voted: Montenegro vs Bulgaria

Montenegro
60.4%
Draw
22.6%
Bulgaria
17.0%
53
Head to Head
Mar 24, 2023 5pm
Group Stage
Bulgaria
0-1
Montenegro
Krstovic (70')
> Preview
Oct 11, 2019 7.45pm
Group Stage
Montenegro
0-0
Bulgaria
Lagator (30'), Jankovic (95')
Pashov (20'), Malinov (90')
Mar 22, 2019 5pm
Group Stage
Bulgaria
1-1
Montenegro
Nedelev (82' pen.)
Popov (34'), Chochev (69')
Mugosa (50')
Beciraj (25'), Simic (25'), Jovovic (81'), Boljevic (89')
rhs 2.0
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