MX23RW : Wednesday, December 25 15:21:54| >> :600:6292988:6292988:
Euro 2020 header take 8

Euro 2024
Iceland national football team
Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage
Oct 13, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Laugardalsvollur
Luxembourg national football team

Iceland
1 - 1
Luxembourg

Oskarsson (23')
Ingi Ingason (66'), Finnsson (75')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Rodrigues (46')
Mahmutovic (20'), Curci (44'), Martins Pereira (64'), Chanot (82'), Moris (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's European Championship qualifying clash between Iceland and Luxembourg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Iceland

All competitions
Last Game: Iceland 1-0 Bosnia H'vina
Monday, September 11 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Luxembourg

All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Portugal 9-0 Luxembourg
Monday, September 11 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

We said: Iceland 1-1 Luxembourg

 This is a really difficult match to call, as it is tough to know exactly what to expect from each side. It would not be a surprise to see a home or indeed an away win, but we just have a feeling that a cagey affair will end with the spoils being shared. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Iceland win with a probability of 38.34%. A win for Luxembourg had a probability of 33.32% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Iceland win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.94%) and 2-0 (7.23%). The likeliest Luxembourg win was 0-1 (11.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
IcelandDrawLuxembourg
38.34% (-8.456 -8.46) 28.35% (1.807 1.81) 33.32% (6.652 6.65)
Both teams to score 46.54% (-2.149 -2.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.3% (-4.182 -4.18)59.71% (4.184 4.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.99% (-3.312 -3.31)80.02% (3.313 3.31)
Iceland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.85% (-6.436 -6.44)30.15% (6.438 6.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.7% (-8.46 -8.46)66.31% (8.462 8.46)
Luxembourg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.62% (2.805 2.8)33.38% (-2.803 -2.8)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30% (2.964 2.96)70.01% (-2.961 -2.96)
Score Analysis
    Iceland 38.33%
    Luxembourg 33.31%
    Draw 28.35%
IcelandDrawLuxembourg
1-0 @ 12.06% (-0.28 -0.28)
2-1 @ 7.94% (-1.096 -1.1)
2-0 @ 7.23% (-1.652 -1.65)
3-1 @ 3.17% (-1.161 -1.16)
3-0 @ 2.89% (-1.371 -1.37)
3-2 @ 1.74% (-0.462 -0.46)
4-1 @ 0.95% (-0.608 -0.61)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 38.33%
1-1 @ 13.24% (0.69 0.69)
0-0 @ 10.06% (1.479 1.48)
2-2 @ 4.35% (-0.237 -0.24)
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 28.35%
0-1 @ 11.04% (2.317 2.32)
1-2 @ 7.26% (0.883 0.88)
0-2 @ 6.06% (1.625 1.63)
1-3 @ 2.66% (0.495 0.5)
0-3 @ 2.22% (0.713 0.71)
2-3 @ 1.59% (0.036 0.04)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 33.31%

How you voted: Iceland vs Luxembourg

Iceland
41.8%
Draw
28.6%
Luxembourg
29.7%
91
Head to Head
Sep 8, 2023 7.45pm
Group Stage
Luxembourg
3-1
Iceland
Chanot (9' pen.), Borges Sanches (70'), Sinani (89')
Mahmutovic (13'), Martins Pereira (15')
Arnar Haraldsson (88')
Magnusson (39'), Arnar Haraldsson (56'), Bergmann Johannesson (85')
Magnusson (73')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool16123137162139
2Chelsea17105237191835
3Arsenal1796234161833
4Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest179442319431
5Bournemouth178452721628
6Aston Villa178452626028
7Manchester CityMan City178362925427
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle177552721626
9Fulham176742422225
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton176742726125
11Tottenham HotspurSpurs1772839251423
12Brentford177283232023
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd176472122-122
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham175572230-820
15Everton163761421-716
16Crystal Palace173771826-816
17Leicester CityLeicester173592137-1614
18Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1733112740-1312
19Ipswich TownIpswich172691632-1612
20Southampton1713131136-256
> Premier League Full Table


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!