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Euro 2020 header take 8

Euro 2024
Azerbaijan national football team
Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage
Oct 16, 2023 at 5pm UK
Baki Olimpiya Stadionu
Austria national football team

Azerbaijan
0 - 1
Austria


Diniyev (57'), Krivotsyuk (84'), Bayramov (88'), Mahammadaliyev (90+2'), Seydayev (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Sabitzer (48' pen.)
Baumgartner (53'), Sabitzer (90+3'), Burgstaller (90+2')
Burgstaller (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between Azerbaijan and Austria, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Azerbaijan

All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Estonia 0-2 Azerbaijan
Friday, October 13 at 5pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Current Group F Standings P GD PTS
1Belgium61316
2Austria6713
3Sweden536
4Azerbaijan5-74
5Estonia6-161

Austria

All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Austria 2-3 Belgium
Friday, October 13 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Current Group F Standings P GD PTS
1Belgium61316
2Austria6713
3Sweden536
4Azerbaijan5-74
5Estonia6-161

We said: Azerbaijan 1-2 Austria

 Emerging from Tofiq Bahramov Stadium with maximum points is never a straightforward task for any visiting side, so Austria may only secure a qualification-clenching victory by a one-goal margin on Monday. As several Austrian stars are either ruled out or struggling with injury, some fringe players will have to step up and seal their nation's place at the Euros. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austria win with a probability of 50.2%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Azerbaijan had a probability of 24.26%.

The most likely scoreline for an Austria win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.45%) and 1-2 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.11%), while for an Azerbaijan win it was 1-0 (7.83%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Austria in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Austria.

Result
AzerbaijanDrawAustria
24.26% (-0.192 -0.19) 25.53% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09) 50.2% (0.276 0.28)
Both teams to score 49.51% (0.067 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.6% (0.18 0.18)53.4% (-0.185 -0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.06% (0.151 0.15)74.93% (-0.154 -0.15)
Azerbaijan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.9% (-0.071999999999996 -0.07)37.09% (0.066000000000003 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.11% (-0.072000000000003 -0.07)73.88% (0.067999999999998 0.07)
Austria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.7% (0.193 0.19)21.29% (-0.196 -0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.77% (0.297 0.3)54.23% (-0.302 -0.3)
Score Analysis
    Azerbaijan 24.26%
    Austria 50.19%
    Draw 25.53%
AzerbaijanDrawAustria
1-0 @ 7.83% (-0.071 -0.07)
2-1 @ 6.01% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
2-0 @ 3.88% (-0.043 -0.04)
3-1 @ 1.99% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.54% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 1.28% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 1.73%
Total : 24.26%
1-1 @ 12.11% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
0-0 @ 7.9% (-0.058000000000001 -0.06)
2-2 @ 4.65% (0.0039999999999996 0)
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 25.53%
0-1 @ 12.21% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-2 @ 9.45% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
1-2 @ 9.37% (0.026 0.03)
0-3 @ 4.87% (0.05 0.05)
1-3 @ 4.83% (0.042 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.4% (0.016 0.02)
0-4 @ 1.88% (0.03 0.03)
1-4 @ 1.87% (0.026 0.03)
2-4 @ 0.93% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 50.19%

How you voted: Azerbaijan vs Austria

Azerbaijan
13.7%
Draw
12.8%
Austria
73.5%
117
Head to Head
Mar 24, 2023 7.45pm
Group Stage
Austria
4-1
Azerbaijan
Sabitzer (27', 50'), Gregoritsch (29'), Baumgartner (69')
Mahmudov (64')
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