Osijek

1 - 2

Basel

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Basel win with a probability of 43.1%. A win for Osijek had a probability of 31.04% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Basel win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.93%) and 0-2 (7.49%). The likeliest Osijek win was 1-0 (8.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Basel would win this match.