MX23RW : Wednesday, February 5 17:43:24| >> :600:2752217:2752217:
Conference League | Second Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Jul 27, 2023 at 8pm UK
Stadion Grbavica

Zeljeznicar
2 - 2
Neftchi Baku

Haracic (14'), Amoah (45+9')
Biber (43'), Ovcina (45+2'), Drina (45+1')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Kosoric (43' og.), Haciyev (90+5')
Saief (45+2')
Coverage of the Conference League Second Qualifying Round clash between Zeljeznicar and Neftchi Baku.

Form, Standings, Stats

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Dinamo Minsk 1-2 Zeljeznicar
Thursday, July 20 at 6pm in Europa Conference League
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Neftchi Baku 0-1 Fenerbahce
Saturday, July 15 at 12pm in Club Friendlies 1
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zeljeznicar win with a probability of 45.65%. A win for Neftchi Baku had a probability of 27.67% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Zeljeznicar win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.95%) and 2-0 (8.6%). The likeliest Neftchi Baku win was 0-1 (8.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.

Result
ZeljeznicarDrawNeftchi Baku
45.65% (0.1 0.1) 26.68% (-0.035 -0.04) 27.67% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07)
Both teams to score 49% (0.053000000000004 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.54% (0.091999999999999 0.09)55.46% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.35% (0.073 0.07)76.65% (-0.075999999999993 -0.08)
Zeljeznicar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.77% (0.088999999999999 0.09)24.23% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.42% (0.126 0.13)58.58% (-0.128 -0.13)
Neftchi Baku Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.67% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)35.32% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.92% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)72.08% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Score Analysis
    Zeljeznicar 45.65%
    Neftchi Baku 27.67%
    Draw 26.67%
ZeljeznicarDrawNeftchi Baku
1-0 @ 12.13% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.95% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.6% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.23% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
3-0 @ 4.06% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.2% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.5% (0.01 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.44% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 45.65%
1-1 @ 12.62% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
0-0 @ 8.56% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
2-2 @ 4.66% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 26.67%
0-1 @ 8.91% (-0.034000000000001 -0.03)
1-2 @ 6.57% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.64% (-0.017 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.28% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1.62% (0.002 0)
0-3 @ 1.61% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 27.67%

How you voted: Zeljeznicar vs Neftchi Baku

Zeljeznicar
88.2%
Draw
11.8%
Neftchi Baku
0.0%
17
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool23175156213556
2Arsenal24148249222750
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest24145540271347
4Chelsea24127547311643
5Manchester CityMan City24125748351341
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle24125742291341
7Bournemouth24117641281340
8Aston Villa2410773437-337
9Fulham249963632436
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2481063538-334
11Brentford2494114242031
12Crystal Palace247982830-230
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd2485112834-629
14Tottenham HotspurSpurs24831348371127
15West Ham UnitedWest Ham2476112946-1727
16Everton236892328-526
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2454153452-1819
18Leicester CityLeicester2445152553-2817
19Ipswich TownIpswich2437142249-2716
20Southampton2423191854-369


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!