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UEFA Conference League
St Patrick's Athletic
Conference League | Third Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Aug 11, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Richmond Park

St Patrick's
0 - 2
CSKA Sofia


Grivosti (56'), Atakayi (75'), Brockbank (80'), Owolabi (89')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Garcez (12'), Turitsov (82' pen.)
Yomov (15'), Mattheij (27'), Youga (59'), Shopov (74'), Turitsov (88'), Koch (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa Conference League clash between St Patrick's Athletic and CSKA Sofia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

St Patrick's Athletic

Last Six:
Last Game: CSKA Sofia 0-1 St Patrick's
Thursday, August 4 at 6pm in Europa Conference League

CSKA Sofia

Last Six:
    Last Game: CSKA Sofia 0-1 St Patrick's
    Thursday, August 4 at 6pm in Europa Conference League

    We said: St Patrick's Athletic 0-1 CSKA Sofia

     We expect another tight encounter at Richmond Park on Thursday, with the visitors determined to rectify last week's surprise defeat in Bulgaria. We would not be surprised to see another penalty shootout for St Patrick's in this competition, with the home crowd potentially pulling them through to the next round. Read more.

    Data Analysis

    Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Patrick's Athletic win with a probability of 46.69%. A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for CSKA Sofia had a probability of 26.18%.

    The most likely scoreline for a St Patrick's Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.14%) and 2-1 (8.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.71%), while for a CSKA Sofia win it was 0-1 (9.13%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that CSKA Sofia would win this match.

    Result
    St Patrick's AthleticDrawCSKA Sofia
    46.69% (0.042999999999999 0.04) 27.13% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01) 26.18% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
    Both teams to score 46.67% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
    Goals
    Over 2.5Under 2.5
    42.06% (0.009999999999998 0.01)57.94% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
    Over 3.5Under 3.5
    21.36% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)78.64% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
    St Patrick's Athletic Goals
    Over 0.5Under 0.5
    75.17% (0.027000000000001 0.03)24.83% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
    Over 1.5Under 1.5
    40.58% (0.036000000000001 0.04)59.42% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
    CSKA Sofia Goals
    Over 0.5Under 0.5
    62.08% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)37.92% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
    Over 1.5Under 1.5
    25.31% (-0.022000000000002 -0.02)74.69% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
    Score Analysis
        St Patrick's Athletic 46.69%
        CSKA Sofia 26.18%
        Draw 27.12%
    St Patrick's AthleticDrawCSKA Sofia
    1-0 @ 13.11%
    2-0 @ 9.14% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
    2-1 @ 8.86% (0.0030000000000001 0)
    3-0 @ 4.24% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
    3-1 @ 4.12% (0.0049999999999999 0)
    3-2 @ 2% (0.0010000000000001 0)
    4-0 @ 1.48% (0.004 0)
    4-1 @ 1.43% (0.002 0)
    Other @ 2.32%
    Total : 46.69%
    		1-1 @ 12.71% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
    0-0 @ 9.41% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
    2-2 @ 4.3% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
    Other @ 0.7%
    Total : 27.12%
    		0-1 @ 9.13% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
    1-2 @ 6.17% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
    0-2 @ 4.43% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
    1-3 @ 1.99% (-0.004 -0)
    0-3 @ 1.43% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
    2-3 @ 1.39% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
    Other @ 1.64%
    Total : 26.18%

    How you voted: St Patrick's vs CSKA Sofia

    St Patrick's Athletic
    22.5%
    Draw
    25.0%
    CSKA Sofia
    52.5%
    40
    Head to Head
    Aug 4, 2022 6pm
    CSKA Sofia
    0-1
    St Patrick's

    Yomov (85')
    Atakayi (87')
    Grivosti (35'), Cotter (49'), Breslin (58'), Lennon (61'), (76')
    rhs 2.0
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