MX23RW : Monday, January 27 19:46:09| >> :600:1981982:1981982:
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UEFA Conference League
Conference League | Second Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Aug 3, 2023 at 5pm UK
Stadion Miejski im. Floriana Krygiera

Szczecin
3 - 2
Linfield

Koulouris (49'), Wahlqvist (57'), Bichakhchyan (75')
Loncar (31')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Mulgrew (16'), McClean (51')
Coverage of the Conference League Second Qualifying Round clash between Pogon Szczecin and Linfield.

Form, Standings, Stats

Pogon Szczecin

All competitions
Europa Conference League
Last Game: Szczecin 2-1 Widzew Lodz
Sunday, July 30 at 7pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Linfield

All competitions
Europa Conference League
Last Game: Linfield 2-5 Szczecin
Thursday, July 27 at 7.45pm in Europa Conference League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pogon Szczecin win with a probability of 53.56%. A win for Linfield had a probability of 23.52% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pogon Szczecin win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.45%) and 2-0 (8.63%). The likeliest Linfield win was 1-2 (6.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.72%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pogon Szczecin would win this match.

Result
Pogon SzczecinDrawLinfield
53.56% (0.14100000000001 0.14) 22.92% (-0.056999999999999 -0.06) 23.52% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)
Both teams to score 56.93% (0.088999999999999 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.82% (0.167 0.17)43.18% (-0.168 -0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.42% (0.165 0.16)65.58% (-0.167 -0.17)
Pogon Szczecin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.91% (0.11 0.11)16.09% (-0.111 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.51% (0.199 0.2)45.49% (-0.2 -0.2)
Linfield Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.85% (0.018000000000001 0.02)32.14% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.37% (0.021000000000001 0.02)68.63% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Pogon Szczecin 53.56%
    Linfield 23.52%
    Draw 22.91%
Pogon SzczecinDrawLinfield
2-1 @ 9.8% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-0 @ 9.45% (-0.034000000000001 -0.03)
2-0 @ 8.63%
3-1 @ 5.97% (0.026 0.03)
3-0 @ 5.26% (0.02 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.39% (0.016 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.72% (0.022 0.02)
4-0 @ 2.4% (0.018 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.55% (0.013 0.01)
5-1 @ 1% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 3.41%
Total : 53.56%
1-1 @ 10.72% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.56% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.17% (-0.038 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.28% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 22.91%
1-2 @ 6.09% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-1 @ 5.87% (-0.040999999999999 -0.04)
0-2 @ 3.33% (-0.021 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.3% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 2.1% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 1.26% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 23.52%

How you voted: Szczecin vs Linfield

Pogon Szczecin
60.0%
Draw
20.0%
Linfield
20.0%
5
Head to Head
Jul 27, 2023 7.45pm
Second Qualifying Round 1st Leg
Linfield
2-5
Szczecin
Finlayson (55'), Hall (80')
Clarke (13'), Cooper (45+1'), McClean (57'), Hall (88'), Robertson (90+1')
Grosicki (14' pen.), Gamboa (40'), Malec (63'), Koulouris (66'), Fornalczyk (90+5')
Gamboa (69'), Wahlqvist (86'), Loncar (88')
rhs 2.0
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