MX23RW : Sunday, December 22 23:38:59| >> :600:205352:205352:
Conference League | Second Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Jul 28, 2022 at 8pm UK
Seaview
Basel

Crusaders
1 - 1
Basel

Joe Burns (53')
Hegarty (70'), McMurray (74'), Lowry (85'), Owens (88'), Heatley (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Millar (36')
Amdouni (22'), Pelmard (74'), Szalai (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa Conference League clash between Crusaders and Basel, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Basel 2-0 Crusaders
Thursday, July 21 at 6pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Basel 1-1 Servette
Sunday, July 24 at 1.15pm in Swiss Super League

We said: Crusaders 0-2 Basel

This should be another comfortable victory for Basel, who will hope to keep 11 men on the pitch this time around. Frei is unlikely to demand too much exertion from his players providing they get an early goal to kill off the tie, so do not expect them to rack up the goals unless Crusaders throw the towel in. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Basel win with a probability of 39.44%. A win for Crusaders had a probability of 33.32% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Basel win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.33%) and 0-2 (7.16%). The likeliest Crusaders win was 1-0 (10%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.

Result
CrusadersDrawBasel
33.32% (0.030999999999999 0.03) 27.24%39.44% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Both teams to score 49.82% (0.013000000000005 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.41% (0.014000000000003 0.01)55.6% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.24% (0.010999999999999 0.01)76.76% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Crusaders Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.74% (0.027999999999992 0.03)31.27% (-0.023 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.39% (0.031000000000006 0.03)67.62% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)
Basel Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.48% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)27.52% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.97% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)63.03% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Crusaders 33.32%
    Basel 39.44%
    Draw 27.23%
CrusadersDrawBasel
1-0 @ 10%
2-1 @ 7.5% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-0 @ 5.82% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.91% (0.004 0)
3-0 @ 2.25% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 1.88% (0.0019999999999998 0)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 33.32%
1-1 @ 12.9%
0-0 @ 8.61% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-2 @ 4.84% (0.0019999999999998 0)
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 27.23%
0-1 @ 11.1%
1-2 @ 8.33% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-2 @ 7.16% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.58% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
0-3 @ 3.08% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 2.08%
1-4 @ 1.16% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-4 @ 0.99% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 39.44%

How you voted: Crusaders vs Basel

Crusaders
27.3%
Draw
9.1%
Basel
63.6%
22
Head to Head
Jul 21, 2022 6pm
Basel
2-0
Crusaders
Ndoye (38'), Szalai (48')
Xhaka (32')
Xhaka (33')

Heatley (22'), Larmour (32')
rhs 2.0
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