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Eerste Divisie | Gameweek 33
Apr 14, 2023 at 7pm UK
De Geusselt

MVV
2 - 1
Dordrecht

van Bommel (45+3'), Essers (78')
Matthys (68')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Longo (90+1')
Longo (68'), Smolarczyk (88')
Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between MVV Maastricht and Dordrecht.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Helmond 1-2 MVV
Friday, April 7 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: Dordrecht 1-0 Jong PSV
Friday, April 7 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MVV Maastricht win with a probability of 50.06%. A win for Dordrecht had a probability of 26.77% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a MVV Maastricht win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.52%) and 2-0 (7.64%). The likeliest Dordrecht win was 1-2 (6.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for MVV Maastricht in this match.

Result
MVV MaastrichtDrawDordrecht
50.06% (0.081000000000003 0.08) 23.16% (-0.031000000000002 -0.03) 26.77% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
Both teams to score 59.57% (0.058 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.73% (0.099000000000004 0.1)41.27% (-0.098999999999997 -0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.33% (0.10100000000001 0.1)63.66% (-0.102 -0.1)
MVV Maastricht Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.35% (0.064999999999998 0.06)16.64% (-0.065999999999999 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.51% (0.119 0.12)46.48% (-0.119 -0.12)
Dordrecht Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.46% (0.012 0.01)28.54% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.67% (0.018000000000001 0.02)64.32% (-0.018999999999991 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    MVV Maastricht 50.06%
    Dordrecht 26.77%
    Draw 23.15%
MVV MaastrichtDrawDordrecht
2-1 @ 9.58% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-0 @ 8.52% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-0 @ 7.64% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 5.72% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
3-0 @ 4.57% (0.010000000000001 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.59% (0.011 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.57% (0.012 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.05% (0.01 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.61% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
5-1 @ 0.92% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 3.32%
Total : 50.06%
1-1 @ 10.67% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 6% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-0 @ 4.75% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.5% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 23.15%
1-2 @ 6.7% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-1 @ 5.96% (-0.024 -0.02)
0-2 @ 3.73% (-0.014 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.8% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
2-3 @ 2.51% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 1.56% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 3.52%
Total : 26.77%

How you voted: MVV vs Dordrecht

MVV Maastricht
Draw
Dordrecht
MVV Maastricht
80.0%
Draw
20.0%
Dordrecht
0.0%
5
Head to Head
Sep 23, 2022 8pm
Dordrecht
1-2
MVV
Brito (28')
Camara (33')
Steuckers (21'), Souren (50')
Feb 25, 2022 7pm
Dordrecht
3-1
MVV
El Azzouzi (52'), Conteh (67'), Meijer (83')
Mannes (61'), N'Diaye (90+4')
Dzepar (19')
Penders (36'), Waem (38'), Lake (84')
Oct 15, 2021 7pm
MVV
2-1
Dordrecht
Ntelo (17'), Remans (18')
Souren (28'), Zeegers (60'), Ntelo (65'), Blummel (82'), Waem (90+2')
N'Diaye (40')
Suray (16'), Schuurman (48'), Wielzen (86')
Suray (90+4')
Apr 23, 2021 8pm
Dordrecht
0-1
MVV

Aktas (70')
Blummel (90+5')
Salasiwa (50'), Van Acker (90+1')
Dec 18, 2020 8pm
MVV
3-1
Dordrecht
Vliet (56' og.), Zamouri (68'), Duin (90+4')
Schuurman (76')
Surmeli (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1FC VolendamVolendam30204668353364
2Cambuur30174948272155
3ADO Den HaagADO Den Haag30167750351555
4SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior30158753332053
5Dordrecht30158750401053
6De GraafschapDe Graafschap29147858411749
7Roda JC3012994340345
8TelstarTelstar301281051391244
9EmmenEmmen30135124641544
10Den BoschDen Bosch30127114236643
11Helmond SportHelmond30126124545042
12FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven29116124548-339
13Jong AZJong AZ29106135353036
14MVV MaastrichtMVV2989124247-533
15Jong AjaxJong Ajax3087153440-631
16VVV-VenloVVV-Venlo2885152749-2229
17TOP OssOss30611132250-2829
18Jong PSVJong PSV2964194262-2022
19Jong FC UtrechtJong Utrecht2939172562-3718
20Vitesse3098134263-218


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