Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cambuur win with a probability of 63.9%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for MVV Maastricht had a probability of 15.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cambuur win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.15%) and 1-2 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.79%), while for a MVV Maastricht win it was 1-0 (4.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-7 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cambuur would win this match.