Eerste Divisie | Gameweek 11
Oct 14, 2022 at 7pm UK
Stadion De Braak
Helmond1 - 3Willem II
Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between Helmond Sport and Willem II.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Jong Ajax 0-1 Helmond
Friday, October 7 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Friday, October 7 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: Willem II 1-2 Den Bosch
Friday, October 7 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Friday, October 7 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Willem II win with a probability of 50.59%. A win for Helmond Sport had a probability of 25.04% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Willem II win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.6%) and 0-2 (8.78%). The likeliest Helmond Sport win was 1-0 (6.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Willem II would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Helmond Sport | Draw | Willem II |
25.04% ( 0.05) | 24.37% ( -0) | 50.59% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 53.87% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.96% ( 0.06) | 48.04% ( -0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.79% ( 0.05) | 70.21% ( -0.05) |
| Helmond Sport Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.51% ( 0.07) | 33.49% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 29.87% ( 0.08) | 70.13% ( -0.08) |
| Willem II Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81% ( 0) | 19% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 49.44% ( 0.01) | 50.56% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
Helmond Sport 25.04%
Willem II 50.58%
Draw 24.36%
| Helmond Sport | Draw | Willem II |
| 1-0 @ 6.96% ( -0) 2-1 @ 6.32% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 3.81% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 2.31% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.91% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 1.39% ( 0)Other @ 2.34% Total : 25.04% | 1-1 @ 11.56% 0-0 @ 6.37% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 5.25% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.06% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.36% | 0-1 @ 10.56% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 9.6% ( -0)0-2 @ 8.78% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 5.31% 0-3 @ 4.86% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.91% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 2.21% ( 0)0-4 @ 2.02% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.21% ( 0)Other @ 3.15% Total : 50.58% |
