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Eerste Divisie | Gameweek 28
Mar 10, 2023 at 7pm UK
Jan Louwers Stadion

FC Eindhoven
5 - 1
Jong Ajax

Amevor (22'), Rottier (35'), van Doorm (64'), Dahlhaus (76'), Sanoh (88')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Hlynsson (31')
Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between FC Eindhoven and Jong Ajax.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Telstar 0-1 FC Eindhoven
Friday, March 3 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: Jong Ajax 1-2 Oss
Monday, March 6 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Eindhoven win with a probability of 49.69%. A win for Jong Ajax had a probability of 27.22% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Eindhoven win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.28%) and 2-0 (7.46%). The likeliest Jong Ajax win was 1-2 (6.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.58%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Eindhoven would win this match.

Result
FC EindhovenDrawJong Ajax
49.69% (-0.125 -0.13) 23.09% (0.0030000000000001 0) 27.22% (0.125 0.13)
Both teams to score 60.24% (0.108 0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.43% (0.093999999999994 0.09)40.56% (-0.089999999999996 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.05% (0.096000000000004 0.1)62.94% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)
FC Eindhoven Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.48% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)16.52% (0.013000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.74% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)46.26% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Jong Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.15% (0.139 0.14)27.84% (-0.135 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.55% (0.175 0.18)63.44% (-0.172 -0.17)
Score Analysis
    FC Eindhoven 49.69%
    Jong Ajax 27.22%
    Draw 23.08%
FC EindhovenDrawJong Ajax
2-1 @ 9.53% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
1-0 @ 8.28% (-0.038 -0.04)
2-0 @ 7.46% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-1 @ 5.72% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.48% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.66% (0.008 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.58% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-0 @ 2.02% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.65% (0.0030000000000001 0)
5-1 @ 0.93% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.39%
Total : 49.69%
1-1 @ 10.58% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.1% (0.017 0.02)
0-0 @ 4.6% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.56% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 23.08%
1-2 @ 6.77% (0.021 0.02)
0-1 @ 5.88% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-2 @ 3.76% (0.013 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.89% (0.02 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.6% (0.017 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.6% (0.012 0.01)
1-4 @ 0.92% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 27.22%

How you voted: FC Eindhoven vs Jong Ajax

FC Eindhoven
Draw
Jong Ajax
FC Eindhoven
70.0%
Draw
30.0%
Jong Ajax
0.0%
10
Head to Head
Jan 6, 2023 7pm
Jong Ajax
1-1
FC Eindhoven
Banel (86')
Warmerdam (58')
Rottier (47')
Mar 18, 2022 7pm
Jong Ajax
2-2
FC Eindhoven
Danilo (37' pen.), Hansen (82')
Hansen (53'), Llansana (66')
Sleegers (12'), Van der Sande (46')
Oct 22, 2021 7pm
FC Eindhoven
1-3
Jong Ajax
Racz (90+3')
Sleegers (52'), Amevor (90+5')
Amevor (90+5')
Jensen (38', 90+1'), Taylor (41')
Martha (58'), Baas (60')
Apr 16, 2021 7pm
FC Eindhoven
3-0
Jong Ajax
Pozo (56'), Peijnenburg (63'), Donkor (90')
Seedorf (5'), Peijnenburg (76'), van Kleef (87')

Rasmussen (18')
Dec 7, 2020 5.45pm
Jong Ajax
1-1
FC Eindhoven
Rensch (34')
Regeer (45')
Van Kleef (90' pen.)
Peijnenburg (41'), van Son (60'), De Keersmaecker (63')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1FC VolendamVolendam30204668353364
2Cambuur30174948272155
3ADO Den HaagADO Den Haag30167750351555
4SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior30158753332053
5Dordrecht30158750401053
6De GraafschapDe Graafschap29147858411749
7Roda JC3012994340345
8TelstarTelstar301281051391244
9EmmenEmmen30135124641544
10Den BoschDen Bosch30127114236643
11Helmond SportHelmond30126124545042
12FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven29116124548-339
13Jong AZJong AZ29106135353036
14MVV MaastrichtMVV2989124247-533
15Jong AjaxJong Ajax3087153440-631
16VVV-VenloVVV-Venlo2885152749-2229
17TOP OssOss30611132250-2829
18Jong PSVJong PSV2964194262-2022
19Jong FC UtrechtJong Utrecht2939172562-3718
20Vitesse3098134263-218


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