Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roda JC win with a probability of 68.38%. A draw had a probability of 17.8% and a win for Dordrecht had a probability of 13.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roda JC win was 0-2 with a probability of 9.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.67%) and 0-1 (8.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.18%), while for a Dordrecht win it was 2-1 (3.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-5 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Roda JC would win this match.