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DFB-Pokal | Quarter-Finals
Mar 2, 2022 at 5.30pm UK
Volksparkstadion
Karlsruher

Hamburger SV
2 - 2
Karlsruher

Glatzel (52', 90+1')
Gyamerah (39'), Jatta (107')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Heise (40'), Hofmann (50')
Kobald (45+2'), Breithaupt (101')
Kobald (71')
Hamburger SV win 3-2 on penalties

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's DFB-Pokal clash between Hamburger SV and Karlsruher SC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Hamburger SV 2-1 Karlsruher SC

Given both sides have impressed to reach this stage, we predict an even encounter and one that could certainly go either way. Over the course of the season, Walter's men seem the slightly stronger of the two sides, and we just give them the edge with home advantage. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamburger SV win with a probability of 49.8%. A win for Karlsruher SC had a probability of 28.31% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hamburger SV win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.53%) and 2-0 (6.41%). The likeliest Karlsruher SC win was 1-2 (6.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.

Result
Hamburger SVDrawKarlsruher SC
49.8%21.88%28.31%
Both teams to score 65.6%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.09%33.91%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.23%55.76%
Hamburger SV Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.95%14.05%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.38%41.62%
Karlsruher SC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.32%23.68%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.21%57.79%
Score Analysis
    Hamburger SV 49.8%
    Karlsruher SC 28.31%
    Draw 21.88%
Hamburger SVDrawKarlsruher SC
2-1 @ 9.23%
1-0 @ 6.53%
2-0 @ 6.41%
3-1 @ 6.04%
3-2 @ 4.35%
3-0 @ 4.19%
4-1 @ 2.96%
4-2 @ 2.14%
4-0 @ 2.06%
5-1 @ 1.16%
4-3 @ 1.03%
Other @ 3.71%
Total : 49.8%
1-1 @ 9.41%
2-2 @ 6.65%
0-0 @ 3.33%
3-3 @ 2.09%
Other @ 0.41%
Total : 21.88%
1-2 @ 6.77%
0-1 @ 4.79%
0-2 @ 3.45%
1-3 @ 3.25%
2-3 @ 3.19%
0-3 @ 1.66%
1-4 @ 1.17%
2-4 @ 1.15%
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 28.31%

How you voted: Hamburger SV vs Karlsruher

Hamburger SV
Draw
Karlsruher SC
Hamburger SV
77.8%
Draw
11.1%
Karlsruher SC
11.1%
18
Head to Head
Nov 6, 2021 7.30pm
Gameweek 13
Karlsruher
1-1
Hamburger SV
Hofmann (18')
Gondorf (30'), Gordon (58'), Hofmann (77')
Kittel (14')
Doyle (72')
Apr 29, 2021 5.30pm
Gameweek 30
Hamburger SV
1-1
Karlsruher
Terodde (56')
Narey (13'), van Drongelen (90'), Gyamerah (90+3')
Gordon (57')
Gueye (55'), Wanitzek (74')
Dec 21, 2020 7.30pm
Gameweek 13
Karlsruher
1-2
Hamburger SV
Hofmann (14')
Heise (68'), Wanitzek (90')
Heise (77')
Jatta (3'), Terodde (82')
Terodde (69'), Kinsombi (70')
Feb 8, 2020 12pm
Gameweek 21
Hamburger SV
2-0
Karlsruher
Hinterseer (68', 81')
Beyer (52')

Hofmann (43')
Aug 25, 2019 12.30pm
Gameweek 4
Karlsruher
2-4
Hamburger SV
Gordon (76'), Hofmann (88')
Frode (44'), Gordon (59')
Hinterseer (16' pen.), Kittel (34', 67'), Samperio (91')
Hinterseer (30'), Gyamerah (54'), Fein (82')
rhs 2.0
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