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Nantes
Coupe de France | Quarter-Finals
Mar 1, 2023 at 5.15pm UK
Stade de la Beaujoire - Louis Fonteneau
Lens logo

Nantes
2 - 1
Lens

Delort (31' pen., 59' pen.)
FT(HT: 1-1)
Fofana (28')
Leca (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Coupe de France clash between Nantes and Lens, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Nantes

All competitions
Coupe de France
Last Game: Nantes 0-1 Rennes
Sunday, February 26 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Lens

All competitions
Coupe de France
Last Game: Montpellier 1-1 Lens
Saturday, February 25 at 8pm in Ligue 1

We said: Nantes 1-2 Lens

 Despite missing several players through injury, there is little doubt that Lens head into this cup tie in better form than Nantes, and as such we expect them to book their place in the semi-finals of the competition. However, Haise's side have been considerably stronger at home than on the road this season, so we think that they will be pushed hard by the holders, who will be determined to retain the Coupe de France. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 51.61%. A win for Nantes had a probability of 24.65% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.69%) and 0-2 (8.64%). The likeliest Nantes win was 1-0 (6.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.

Result
NantesDrawLens
24.65% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02) 23.74% (0.0010000000000012 0) 51.61% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Both teams to score 55.48% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.28% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)45.71% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.96% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)68.03% (0.019999999999996 0.02)
Nantes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.43% (-0.027999999999992 -0.03)32.56% (0.023000000000003 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.9% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)69.1% (0.025000000000006 0.03)
Lens Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.27% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)17.72% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.6% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)48.39% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Score Analysis
    Nantes 24.65%
    Lens 51.61%
    Draw 23.74%
NantesDrawLens
1-0 @ 6.48% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-1 @ 6.29% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 3.63% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-1 @ 2.35% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 2.03% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 1.36% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 24.65%
1-1 @ 11.2%
0-0 @ 5.77% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-2 @ 5.44% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-3 @ 1.17% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 23.74%
0-1 @ 9.99% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
1-2 @ 9.69%
0-2 @ 8.64% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-3 @ 5.59% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-3 @ 4.98% (0.0029999999999992 0)
2-3 @ 3.14% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-4 @ 2.42% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-4 @ 2.16% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-4 @ 1.36% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.65%
Total : 51.61%

How you voted: Nantes vs Lens

Nantes
27.9%
Draw
16.4%
Lens
55.7%
61
Head to Head
Feb 19, 2023 4.05pm
Lens
3-1
Nantes
Machado (34'), Thomasson (36'), Traore (74' og.)
Mollet (40')
Sep 18, 2022 4.05pm
Nantes
0-0
Lens

Moutoussamy (79')
Apr 30, 2022 4pm
Lens
2-2
Nantes
Costa (67'), Kalimuendo (81' pen.)
Leca (19')
Simon (8', 32')
Pereira de Sa (53'), Cyprien (62'), Moutoussamy (74'), Pallois (80'), Lafont (81')
Dec 10, 2021 8pm
Nantes
3-2
Lens
Kolo (49', 57'), Simon (90')
Girotto (31'), Blas (60'), Chirivella (76')
Costa (7'), Kalimuendo (14')
Haidara (46'), Gradit (60'), Medina (61')
Jan 17, 2021 2pm
Nantes
1-1
Lens
Louza (36' pen.)
Kolo (50'), Corchia (67'), Toure (87')
Kakuta (81')
Gradit (34'), Haidara (69'), Fortes (77')
rhs 2.0
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