MX23RW : Monday, January 27 06:00:59| >> :60:1048:1048:
Lesotho national football team
COSAFA Cup | Group Stage
Jul 8, 2022 at 4pm UK
King Goodwill Zwelithini Stadium
Mauritius national football team

Lesotho
2 - 1
Mauritius

Makha (10'), Thaba-Ntso (72')
Toloane (87')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Gordy Hansley Prosper (50')
Coverage of the COSAFA Cup Group Stage clash between Lesotho and Mauritius.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lesotho

Last Game: Lesotho 2-1 Malawi
Wednesday, July 6 at 4pm in COSAFA Cup

Mauritius

Last Game: Mauritius 0-3 Eswatini
Wednesday, July 6 at 1pm in COSAFA Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lesotho win with a probability of 46.13%. A win for Mauritius had a probability of 29.47% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lesotho win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.14%) and 2-0 (7.43%). The likeliest Mauritius win was 1-2 (7.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Lesotho in this match.

Result
LesothoDrawMauritius
46.13% (0.018000000000001 0.02) 24.4% (-0.004999999999999 -0) 29.47% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
Both teams to score 57.37% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.9% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)45.1% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.56% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)67.44% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Lesotho Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.34% (0.010999999999996 0.01)19.67% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.35% (0.017999999999994 0.02)51.65% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Mauritius Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.41% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)28.59% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.62% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)64.38% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Lesotho 46.13%
    Mauritius 29.47%
    Draw 24.39%
LesothoDrawMauritius
2-1 @ 9.31% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-0 @ 9.14%
2-0 @ 7.43% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 5.05% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 4.03% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 3.16% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-1 @ 2.05% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-0 @ 1.64% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.29% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 46.13%
1-1 @ 11.44% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.83%
0-0 @ 5.62% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-3 @ 1.32%
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.39%
1-2 @ 7.17% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-1 @ 7.04% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-2 @ 4.41% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
1-3 @ 2.99% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
2-3 @ 2.43%
0-3 @ 1.84% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 0.94%
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 29.47%

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