Coppa Italia | First Round
Aug 11, 2023 at 8pm UK
Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris
Genoa4 - 3Modena
FT(HT: 2-2)
Manconi (29'), Tremolada (40'), Gargiulo (77')
Duca (32'), Gargiulo (59'), Gerli (69'), Manconi (88')
Duca (32'), Gargiulo (59'), Gerli (69'), Manconi (88')
Coverage of the Coppa Italia First Round clash between Genoa and Modena.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Modena 2-1 Sudtirol
Friday, May 19 at 7.30pm in Serie B
Friday, May 19 at 7.30pm in Serie B
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genoa win with a probability of 58.31%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Modena had a probability of 19.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Genoa win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.15%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.6%), while for a Modena win it was 0-1 (5.67%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Genoa would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Genoa | Draw | Modena |
58.31% ( -0.01) | 22.35% ( 0) | 19.34% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 52.69% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
