Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
Apr 24, 2024 at 11pm UK
Estadio Centenario
Danubio0 - 1Athletico PR
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Danubio and Athletico Paranaense.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Danubio 1-1 Cerro Largo
Saturday, April 20 at 2pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Saturday, April 20 at 2pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Athletico PR 1-0 Internacional
Sunday, April 21 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Sunday, April 21 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 50.74%. A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for Danubio had a probability of 22.19%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.52%) and 1-2 (8.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.43%), while for a Danubio win it was 1-0 (8.73%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 14.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Athletico Paranaense in this match.
Result | ||
Danubio | Draw | Athletico Paranaense |
22.19% ( 0.4) | 27.06% ( 0.29) | 50.74% ( -0.69) |
Both teams to score 43.21% ( -0.28) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
39.5% ( -0.61) | 60.5% ( 0.61) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
19.39% ( -0.47) | 80.61% ( 0.47) |
Danubio Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
56.89% ( 0.06) | 43.1% ( -0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.62% ( 0.05) | 79.38% ( -0.05) |
Athletico Paranaense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.95% ( -0.58) | 24.05% ( 0.58) |