Copa Sudamericana | Semi-Finals | 1st Leg
Oct 25, 2024 at 1.30am UK
Arena Corinthians
Corinthians2 - 2Racing
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Corinthians 0-0 Flamengo
Sunday, October 20 at 8pm in Copa do Brasil
Sunday, October 20 at 8pm in Copa do Brasil
Goals
for
for
34
Last Game: Racing 4-3 Defensa
Saturday, October 19 at 9pm in Argentine Primera Division
Saturday, October 19 at 9pm in Argentine Primera Division
Goals
for
for
49
We said: Corinthians 1-1 Racing Club
The four previous times these teams have met at the Sudamericana, it ended in a draw after 90 minutes, and though we expect Corinthians will be the more desperate side, we believe Racing will have an answer. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Corinthians win with a probability of 42.39%. A win for Racing Club had a probability of 30.22% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Corinthians win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.56%) and 2-0 (7.97%). The likeliest Racing Club win was 0-1 (9.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Corinthians | Draw | Racing Club |
42.39% ( -0.72) | 27.39% ( 0.17) | 30.22% ( 0.54) |
| Both teams to score 48.35% ( -0.26) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
