MX23RW : Wednesday, December 25 18:00:05| >> :60:621:621:
Sporting Cristal
Copa Libertadores | Second Round | 2nd Leg
Mar 1, 2023 at 12am UK
Estadio Alberto Gallardo

Cristal
5 - 1
Nacional

Avila (46', 67'), Ignacio (74'), Lora (89'), Corozo (90+5')
Nunes (5'), Lora (42'), Avila (54'), Corozo (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Caballero (47')
Cabrera (4'), Nunez (70')
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Second Round clash between Sporting Cristal and Club Nacional.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sporting Cristal

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Last Game: Nacional 2-0 Cristal
Tuesday, February 21 at 10pm in Copa Libertadores
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Club Nacional

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Nacional 2-0 Cristal
Tuesday, February 21 at 10pm in Copa Libertadores
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Cristal win with a probability of 55.56%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Club Nacional had a probability of 19.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Cristal win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.37%) and 2-1 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.72%), while for a Club Nacional win it was 0-1 (7.4%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sporting Cristal would win this match.

Result
Sporting CristalDrawClub Nacional
55.56% (0.193 0.19) 25.17% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03) 19.27% (-0.166 -0.17)
Both teams to score 44.36% (-0.17100000000001 -0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.05% (-0.094000000000001 -0.09)56.95% (0.093000000000004 0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.15% (-0.074999999999999 -0.07)77.85% (0.075000000000003 0.08)
Sporting Cristal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.5% (0.039000000000001 0.04)20.5% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.01% (0.062000000000005 0.06)52.99% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)
Club Nacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.8% (-0.24299999999999 -0.24)44.2% (0.243 0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.71% (-0.2 -0.2)80.29% (0.199 0.2)
Score Analysis
    Sporting Cristal 55.55%
    Club Nacional 19.27%
    Draw 25.17%
Sporting CristalDrawClub Nacional
1-0 @ 14.36% (0.07 0.07)
2-0 @ 11.37% (0.059999999999999 0.06)
2-1 @ 9.29% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-0 @ 6.01% (0.044 0.04)
3-1 @ 4.91% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-0 @ 2.38% (0.02 0.02)
3-2 @ 2% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.94% (0.004 0)
Other @ 3.29%
Total : 55.55%
1-1 @ 11.72% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 9.06% (0.032 0.03)
2-2 @ 3.79% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 0.59%
Total : 25.17%
0-1 @ 7.4% (-0.023 -0.02)
1-2 @ 4.79% (-0.041 -0.04)
0-2 @ 3.02% (-0.03 -0.03)
1-3 @ 1.3% (-0.021 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.03% (-0.015 -0.01)
Other @ 1.73%
Total : 19.27%

Head to Head
Feb 21, 2023 10pm
Second Round
Nacional
2-0
Cristal
Martinez (46'), Aguilar (90+7')
Fernando Alfaro (29'), Martinez (90+3')

Lutiger (90+2'), Yotun (90+4')
rhs 2.0
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