Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
Apr 27, 2022 at 1.30am UK
Neo Química Arena (São Paulo, São Paulo)
Corinthians2 - 0Boca Juniors
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Corinthians and Boca Juniors.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Cuiaba 1-0 Corinthians
Wednesday, June 8 at 1.30am in Brasileiro
Wednesday, June 8 at 1.30am in Brasileiro
Next Game: Corinthians vs. Juventude
Saturday, June 11 at 8.30pm in Brasileiro
Saturday, June 11 at 8.30pm in Brasileiro
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Palmeiras | 10 | 12 | 19 |
| 2 | Corinthians | 10 | 4 | 18 |
| 3 | Sao Paulo | 10 | 5 | 17 |
Last Game: Boca Juniors 2-1 Arsenal
Sunday, June 5 at 11.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Sunday, June 5 at 11.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Next Game: C. Cordoba vs. Boca Juniors
Monday, June 13 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Monday, June 13 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | River Plate | 13 | 18 | 26 |
| 4 | Boca Juniors | 13 | 6 | 24 |
| 5 | Defensa y Justicia | 12 | 7 | 22 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Corinthians win with a probability of 37.22%. A win for Boca Juniors had a probability of 37.12% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Corinthians win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.3%) and 2-0 (6.09%). The likeliest Boca Juniors win was 0-1 (8.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Corinthians would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Corinthians | Draw | Boca Juniors |
| 37.22% | 25.66% | 37.12% |
| Both teams to score 55.42% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.33% | 48.66% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.22% | 70.78% |
| Corinthians Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.47% | 25.53% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 39.61% | 60.38% |
| Boca Juniors Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.42% | 25.58% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 39.54% | 60.46% |
| Score Analysis |
Corinthians 37.22%
Boca Juniors 37.12%
Draw 25.66%
| Corinthians | Draw | Boca Juniors |
| 1-0 @ 8.92% 2-1 @ 8.3% 2-0 @ 6.09% 3-1 @ 3.78% 3-0 @ 2.77% 3-2 @ 2.58% 4-1 @ 1.29% 4-0 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.56% Total : 37.22% | 1-1 @ 12.15% 0-0 @ 6.53% 2-2 @ 5.66% 3-3 @ 1.17% Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.66% | 0-1 @ 8.9% 1-2 @ 8.29% 0-2 @ 6.07% 1-3 @ 3.77% 0-3 @ 2.76% 2-3 @ 2.57% 1-4 @ 1.28% 0-4 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.55% Total : 37.12% |
How you voted: Corinthians vs Boca Juniors
Corinthians
68.8%Draw
18.8%Boca Juniors
12.5%16
Form Guide
