Copa Libertadores | Round of 16
Nov 27, 2020 at 12.30am UK
Estadio Defensores del Chaco
Guarani0 - 2Gremio
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Round of 16 clash between Club Guarani and Gremio.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gremio win with a probability of 38.54%. A win for Club Guarani had a probability of 31.1% and a draw had a probability of 30.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gremio win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.75%) and 1-2 (7.35%). The likeliest Club Guarani win was 1-0 (12.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gremio would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Club Guarani | Draw | Gremio |
| 31.1% | 30.36% | 38.54% |
| Both teams to score 40.73% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
