Copa do Brasil | Semi-Finals | 2nd Leg
Aug 17, 2023 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Nilton Santos
Flamengo1 - 0Gremio
Coverage of the Copa do Brasil Semi-Finals clash between Flamengo and Gremio.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Flamengo 1-1 Sao Paulo
Sunday, August 13 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Sunday, August 13 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Gremio 2-1 Fluminense
Sunday, August 13 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Sunday, August 13 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Goals
for
for
28
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 46.38%. A win for Gremio had a probability of 27.55% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.13%) and 2-0 (8.51%). The likeliest Gremio win was 0-1 (8.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Flamengo in this match.
| Result | ||
| Flamengo | Draw | Gremio |
46.38% ( -2.02) | 26.07% ( 0.52) | 27.55% ( 1.51) |
| Both teams to score 50.71% ( -0.4) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
