MX23RW : Monday, December 23 00:53:52| >> :60:1994:1994:
America Mineiro
Copa do Brasil | Round of 16 | 1st Leg
Jun 30, 2022 at 11pm UK
Estádio Raimundo Sampaio
Botafogo logo

America Mineiro
3 - 0
Botafogo

Paulista (6'), Avelar (35'), Egea (59')
Eder (53'), Paulista (56')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Saravia (70'), Jefinho (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Copa do Brasil clash between America Mineiro and Botafogo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

America Mineiro

Last Six:
Last Game: Flamengo 3-0 America Mineiro
Saturday, June 25 at 11pm in Brasileiro

Botafogo

Last Six:
Last Game: Botafogo 0-1 Fluminense
Sunday, June 26 at 8pm in Brasileiro

We said: America Mineiro 1-0 Botafogo

 The home side have come away with either a win or a draw in all eight fixtures between these two teams domestically, and we expect that trend to continue on Thursday. Do not let their goals in the third round fool you, as neither side have shown that same quality against most of the teams in the top flight, but home field should give America a slight edge, though we do not anticipate there will be a lot of scoring opportunities on either end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a America Mineiro win with a probability of 42.17%. A win for Botafogo had a probability of 31.39% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an America Mineiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.76%) and 2-0 (7.52%). The likeliest Botafogo win was 0-1 (9.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that America Mineiro would win this match.

Result
America MineiroDrawBotafogo
42.17% (0.169 0.17) 26.44% (0.013000000000002 0.01) 31.39% (-0.177 -0.18)
Both teams to score 51.69% (-0.103 -0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.06% (-0.099999999999994 -0.1)52.93% (0.104 0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.46% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)74.54% (0.091000000000008 0.09)
America Mineiro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.16% (0.042000000000002 0.04)24.84% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.57% (0.058 0.06)59.43% (-0.053999999999995 -0.05)
Botafogo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.77% (-0.172 -0.17)31.22% (0.176 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.43% (-0.203 -0.2)67.57% (0.208 0.21)
Score Analysis
    America Mineiro 42.16%
    Botafogo 31.39%
    Draw 26.44%
America MineiroDrawBotafogo
1-0 @ 10.8% (0.06 0.06)
2-1 @ 8.76% (0.013 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.52% (0.047000000000001 0.05)
3-1 @ 4.07% (0.011 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.49% (0.026 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.37% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 1.42% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.22% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 42.16%
1-1 @ 12.57% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.76% (0.032 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.1% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-3 @ 0.92% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.44%
0-1 @ 9.03% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.32% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
0-2 @ 5.25% (-0.029000000000001 -0.03)
1-3 @ 2.84% (-0.027 -0.03)
0-3 @ 2.04% (-0.021 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.98% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 31.39%

How you voted: America Mineiro vs Botafogo

America Mineiro
45.8%
Draw
25.0%
Botafogo
29.2%
24
Head to Head
May 22, 2022 1am
America Mineiro
1-1
Botafogo
Aloisio (38')
Rodriguinho (23'), Marlon (67')
Erison (86')
Lopes (90+7')
Sep 16, 2018 3pm
Botafogo
1-0
America Mineiro
Lindoso (24')
Jean (35')
Gilson (88')

Messias (26')
Luan (88')
May 20, 2018 8pm
America Mineiro
1-0
Botafogo
Juninho (78')
Norberto (36'), Juninho (45')

Morais (29'), Carli (43'), Bochecha (78'), Aguirre (89')
rhs 2.0
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