Chinese Super League | Gameweek 12
Jun 9, 2023 at 12.35pm UK
Shanghai Stadium
We said: Shanghai Port 2-0 Nantong Zhiyun
Shanghai Port suffered a slight bump in the road last time out, but they boast the firepower needed to bounce back and get the job done. While Nantong Zhiyun will be looking to build on their win over Qingdao Hainiu and put together a run of form, we predict that the hosts will ease to a comfortable victory in this one.
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Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai Port win with a probability of 60.2% . A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Nantong Zhiyun had a probability of 16.95% .
The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai Port win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.08% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.7%) and 2-1 (9.67%) . The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.81%) , while for a Nantong Zhiyun win it was 0-1 (6.04%) . The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood . Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Shanghai Port would win this match.
Result Shanghai Port Draw Nantong Zhiyun 60.2% ( -0.28) 22.84% ( 0.09) 16.95% ( 0.2)
Both teams to score 46.85% ( 0.13)
48.55% ( -0.04) 51.45% ( 0.04)
26.74% ( -0.03) 73.26% ( 0.03)
83.29% ( -0.11) 16.71% ( 0.11)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 53.39% ( -0.2) 46.61% ( 0.2)
56.25% ( 0.23) 43.75% ( -0.23)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 20.08% ( 0.19) 79.92% ( -0.19)
Shanghai Port 60.2%
Nantong Zhiyun 16.95%
Draw 22.84%
Shanghai Port Draw Nantong Zhiyun 1-0 @ 13.08% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 11.7% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 9.67% ( 0) 3-0 @ 6.98% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 5.77% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 3.12% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 2.58% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.38% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.12% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.07% 5-1 @ 0.92% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.81% Total : 60.2% 1-1 @ 10.81% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 7.31% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.72% Total : 22.84% 0-1 @ 6.04% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 4.47% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 2.5% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 1.23% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.1% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.61% Total : 16.95%
How you voted: Shanghai Port vs Nantong Zhiyun
Shanghai Port
Draw
Nantong Zhiyun
10
rhs 2.0
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