Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guangzhou R&F win with a probability of 44.19%. A win for Qingdao Hainiu had a probability of 30.43% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Guangzhou R&F win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.09%) and 0-2 (7.51%). The likeliest Qingdao Hainiu win was 1-0 (7.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Guangzhou R&F in this match.
