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Chinese Super League | Gameweek 16
Jul 12, 2023 at 12.35pm UK
Changchun's People Stadium

Changchun
2 - 2
Zhejiang

Long (24'), Yan (82')
Long (21'), Zhang (45+1')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Leonardo (3', 55')
Tixiang (49'), Possignolo (51')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Chinese Super League clash between Changchun Yatai and Zhejiang Professional, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Wuhan TT 2-1 Changchun
Saturday, July 8 at 12.35pm in Chinese Super League
Last Game: Zhejiang 0-1 Sh. Shenhua
Friday, July 7 at 12.35pm in Chinese Super League

We said: Changchun Yatai 1-1 Zhejiang Professional

Zhejiang have struggled for goals against Changchun of late, but we are backing them to get on the scoresheet this time around. We are also tipping the sides to cancel each other out and settle for a point apiece in the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zhejiang Professional win with a probability of 40.48%. A win for Changchun Yatai had a probability of 34.19% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Zhejiang Professional win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.72%) and 0-2 (6.61%). The likeliest Changchun Yatai win was 1-0 (8.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Changchun YataiDrawZhejiang Professional
34.19% (-0.073 -0.07) 25.32% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03) 40.48% (0.108 0.11)
Both teams to score 56.24% (0.091999999999999 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.54% (0.128 0.13)47.46% (-0.123 -0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.33% (0.119 0.12)69.68% (-0.113 -0.11)
Changchun Yatai Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.29% (0.019000000000005 0.02)26.71% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.03% (0.023000000000003 0.02)61.98% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Zhejiang Professional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.74% (0.11199999999999 0.11)23.26% (-0.106 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.82% (0.162 0.16)57.19% (-0.155 -0.16)
Score Analysis
    Changchun Yatai 34.19%
    Zhejiang Professional 40.48%
    Draw 25.32%
Changchun YataiDrawZhejiang Professional
1-0 @ 8.2% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
2-1 @ 7.9% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-0 @ 5.41% (-0.023000000000001 -0.02)
3-1 @ 3.47% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 2.53% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.38% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.15% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 34.19%
1-1 @ 11.96% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 6.21% (-0.032 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.76% (0.012 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.23% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.32%
0-1 @ 9.06% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
1-2 @ 8.72% (0.014000000000001 0.01)
0-2 @ 6.61% (0.008 0.01)
1-3 @ 4.24% (0.02 0.02)
0-3 @ 3.21% (0.014 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.8% (0.015 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.55% (0.012 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.17% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.02% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 40.48%

How you voted: Changchun vs Zhejiang

Changchun Yatai
60.0%
Draw
40.0%
Zhejiang Professional
0.0%
5
Head to Head
Apr 15, 2023 12.35pm
Gameweek 1
Zhejiang
0-2
Changchun
Long (80'), Serginho (88')
Jun 29, 2022 12.30pm
Gameweek 7
Changchun
1-1
Zhejiang
Ndlovu (66')
Wang (41'), Jie (47'), Dong (85')
Andrijasevic (39' pen.)
Sun (33'), Di (57')
Jun 7, 2022 12.30pm
Gameweek 2
Zhejiang
0-0
Changchun
Matheus (88')
Weihui (55')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Shanghai PortShanghai Port30253296306678
2Shanghai ShenhuaSh. Shenhua30245173205377
3Chengdu RongchengChengdu30185765313459
4Beijing GuoanBeijing Guoan30168665353056
5Shandong TaishanShandong3013984940948
6Tianjin Jinmen TigerTianjin Jinmen30126124447-342
7Zhejiang ProfessionalZhejiang30115145560-538
8HenanHenan3099123439-536
9Changchun YataiChangchun3088144658-1232
10Qingdao Youth Island3088144158-1732
11Wuhan Three TownsWuhan TT3087153144-1331
12Cangzhou Mighty LionsCangzhou3078153357-2429
13Sichuan JiuniuSichuan3078152955-2629
14Qingdao Hainiu3085172855-2729
15Meizhou Hakka3069152955-2627
16Nantong Zhiyun3057183266-3422


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